Assurant Stock Price Prediction
| AIZN Stock | USD 22.49 0.34 1.53% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
51
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Assurant hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Assurant from the perspective of Assurant response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Assurant to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Assurant because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Assurant after-hype prediction price | USD 22.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Assurant |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Assurant's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Assurant After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Assurant at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Assurant or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Assurant, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Assurant Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Assurant's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Assurant's historical news coverage. Assurant's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.70 and 23.30, respectively. We have considered Assurant's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Assurant is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Assurant is based on 3 months time horizon.
Assurant Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Assurant is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Assurant backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Assurant, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 0.80 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
22.49 | 22.50 | 0.04 |
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Assurant Hype Timeline
Assurant is presently traded for 22.49. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Assurant is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 22.5 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Assurant is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.49. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 11.13 B. Net Income was 642.5 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Assurant Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Assurant Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Assurant's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Assurant's future price movements. Getting to know how Assurant's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Assurant may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AFGD | American Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.87 | (0.12) | 1.28 | (1.68) | 4.34 | |
| AEFC | Aegon Funding | (0.03) | 1 per month | 0.55 | (0.01) | 1.40 | (1.37) | 3.58 | |
| AFGC | American Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.48 | 0.05 | 0.97 | (0.94) | 3.55 | |
| AFGB | American Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.46 | (0.06) | 0.79 | (0.98) | 3.24 | |
| AFGE | American Financial Group | 0.03 | 10 per month | 0.93 | (0.02) | 1.09 | (1.27) | 5.37 |
Assurant Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Assurant price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Assurant using various technical indicators. When you analyze Assurant charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Assurant Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Assurant stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Assurant, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Assurant based on analysis of Assurant hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Assurant's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Assurant's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0176 | 0.0221 | 0.0154 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.9 | 0.67 | 0.5 |
Story Coverage note for Assurant
The number of cover stories for Assurant depends on current market conditions and Assurant's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Assurant is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Assurant's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Assurant Short Properties
Assurant's future price predictability will typically decrease when Assurant's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Assurant often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Assurant's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Assurant's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 53.8 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 152.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.7 B |
Check out Assurant Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Assurant Stock, please use our How to Invest in Assurant guide.You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Is Multi-line Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Assurant. If investors know Assurant will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Assurant listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Return On Equity 0.0746 |
The market value of Assurant is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Assurant that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Assurant's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Assurant's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Assurant's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Assurant's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Assurant's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Assurant is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Assurant's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.