Aehr Test Systems Stock Price Prediction
| AEHR Stock | USD 15.11 0.00 0.00% |
Momentum 70
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.88) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.12 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.22 | Wall Street Target Price 12.75 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.01) |
Using Aehr Test hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aehr Test Systems from the perspective of Aehr Test response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Aehr Test using Aehr Test's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Aehr using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Aehr Test's stock price.
Aehr Test Short Interest
An investor who is long Aehr Test may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Aehr Test and may potentially protect profits, hedge Aehr Test with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 11.5498 | Short Percent 0.2371 | Short Ratio 8.81 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.7 M | 50 Day MA 11.5392 |
Aehr Test Systems Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Aehr Test's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Aehr. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Aehr can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Aehr Test Systems. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Aehr Test's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Aehr Test.
Aehr Test Implied Volatility | 1.07 |
Aehr Test's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Aehr Test Systems stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Aehr Test's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Aehr Test stock will not fluctuate a lot when Aehr Test's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Aehr Test to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Aehr because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Aehr Test after-hype prediction price | USD 16.03 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Aehr contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Aehr Test Systems will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0669% per day over the life of the 2025-09-19 option contract. With Aehr Test trading at USD 15.11, that is roughly USD 0.0101 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Aehr Test's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Aehr Test Systems options at the current volatility level of 1.07%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Aehr Test Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Aehr Test After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aehr Test at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aehr Test or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Aehr Test, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aehr Test Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aehr Test's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aehr Test's historical news coverage. Aehr Test's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.29 and 20.77, respectively. We have considered Aehr Test's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aehr Test is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aehr Test Systems is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aehr Test Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aehr Test is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aehr Test backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aehr Test, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.08 | 4.76 | 0.92 | 0.28 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
15.11 | 16.03 | 6.37 |
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Aehr Test Hype Timeline
Aehr Test Systems is presently traded for 15.11. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.92, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.28. Aehr is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 16.03 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 6.37%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 1.08%. The volatility of related hype on Aehr Test is about 1813.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.83. The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.37 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.03) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.03. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Aehr Test Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Aehr Test Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aehr Test's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aehr Test's future price movements. Getting to know how Aehr Test's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aehr Test may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ACLS | Axcelis Technologies | (3.57) | 12 per month | 2.18 | 0.17 | 6.44 | (4.54) | 13.36 | |
| INTT | inTest | (0.16) | 7 per month | 2.81 | 0.07 | 6.42 | (4.95) | 17.10 | |
| LRCX | Lam Research Corp | (0.95) | 7 per month | 1.15 | 0.22 | 4.39 | (2.14) | 13.15 | |
| PLAB | Photronics | (0.02) | 9 per month | 3.09 | 0 | 4.09 | (3.67) | 21.52 | |
| INDI | indie Semiconductor | (0.03) | 10 per month | 3.34 | 0.24 | 10.07 | (6.69) | 21.76 | |
| ALGM | Allegro Microsystems | 1.32 | 12 per month | 2.79 | 0.19 | 7.71 | (4.60) | 16.88 | |
| SMCI | Super Micro Computer | 1.30 | 7 per month | 3.83 | 0.13 | 8.80 | (6.35) | 25.80 | |
| MRIN | Marin Software | 0.01 | 3 per month | 11.46 | 0.06 | 69.39 | (20.59) | 143.41 |
Aehr Test Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aehr price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aehr using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aehr charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Aehr Test Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Aehr Test stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Aehr Test Systems, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aehr Test based on analysis of Aehr Test hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Aehr Test's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Aehr Test's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 3.5 | 6.32 | 5.21 | 9.22 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 270.88 | 406.13 | 437.53 | 459.41 |
Story Coverage note for Aehr Test
The number of cover stories for Aehr Test depends on current market conditions and Aehr Test's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aehr Test is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aehr Test's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Aehr Test Short Properties
Aehr Test's future price predictability will typically decrease when Aehr Test's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Aehr Test Systems often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Aehr Test's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aehr Test's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 24.5 M |
Additional Tools for Aehr Stock Analysis
When running Aehr Test's price analysis, check to measure Aehr Test's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aehr Test is operating at the current time. Most of Aehr Test's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aehr Test's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aehr Test's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aehr Test to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.