Fair Isaac Stock Performance

FICO Stock  USD 1,805  20.00  1.12%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0294, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Fair Isaac are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Fair Isaac is likely to outperform the market. Fair Isaac right now shows a risk of 3.7%. Please confirm Fair Isaac semi variance, day typical price, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution , to decide if Fair Isaac will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Fair Isaac has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy fundamental indicators, Fair Isaac is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.14)
Five Day Return
0.19
Year To Date Return
(10.60)
Ten Year Return
K
All Time Return
130.1 K
Last Split Factor
3:2
Dividend Date
2017-03-17
Ex Dividend Date
2017-03-01
Last Split Date
2004-03-11
1
Disposition of tradable shares by William Lansing of Fair Isaac at 1771.1614 subject to Rule 16b-3
04/11/2025
2
Disposition of 2680 shares by Thomas Bowers of Fair Isaac at 506.91 subject to Rule 16b-3
05/02/2025
3
Disposition of 706 shares by Steven Weber of Fair Isaac subject to Rule 16b-3
05/15/2025
4
Disposition of tradable shares by William Lansing of Fair Isaac at 2172.9547 subject to Rule 16b-3
05/16/2025
5
Octane Earns a 2025 FICO Decision Award Responsibly Expands Credit Access with FICO Auto Score 10
05/22/2025
6
FICO Aims to Accelerate Businesses Digital Transformation Under New Strategic Collaboration ...
05/27/2025
7
Stock Market News for May 30, 2025
05/30/2025
8
FICOs Dr. Scott Zoldi Honored for Tech Leadership from Banking Tech Awards
06/04/2025
9
FICO UK Credit Card Market Report March 2025
06/05/2025
10
Disposition of 1000 shares by Steven Weber of Fair Isaac at 1738.25 subject to Rule 16b-3
06/09/2025
11
Disposition of 6010 shares by William Lansing of Fair Isaac at 185.05 subject to Rule 16b-3
06/10/2025
12
Fair Isaac Corp Announces Guild Mortgages Adoption of FI
06/11/2025
Begin Period Cash Flow136.8 M

Fair Isaac Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  184,585  in Fair Isaac on March 15, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (4,085) from holding Fair Isaac or give up 2.21% of portfolio value over 90 days. Fair Isaac is currently generating 0.0341% in daily expected returns and assumes 3.6969% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 33% of stocks are less volatile than Fair, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Fair Isaac is expected to generate 1.66 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.21 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.03 per unit of volatility.

Fair Isaac Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fair Isaac's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Fair Isaac, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Fair Isaac's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.0092

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Negative ReturnsFICO

Estimated Market Risk

 3.7
  actual daily
33
67% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.03
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.01
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Fair Isaac is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Fair Isaac by adding Fair Isaac to a well-diversified portfolio.

Fair Isaac Fundamentals Growth

Fair Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Fair Isaac, and Fair Isaac fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Fair Stock performance.

About Fair Isaac Performance

By examining Fair Isaac's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Fair Isaac's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Fair Isaac is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 14.95  14.20 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.49  0.52 
Return On Capital Employed 0.49  0.52 
Return On Assets 0.27  0.28 
Return On Equity(0.61)(0.58)

Things to note about Fair Isaac performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fair Isaac for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Fair Isaac help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fair Isaac had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Fair Isaac is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Fair Isaac Corp Announces Guild Mortgages Adoption of FI
Evaluating Fair Isaac's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Fair Isaac's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Fair Isaac's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Fair Isaac's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Fair Isaac's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Fair Isaac's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Fair Isaac's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Fair Isaac's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Fair Isaac's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Fair Isaac's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Fair Isaac's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Fair Isaac offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Fair Isaac's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Fair Isaac Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Fair Isaac Stock:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Fair Isaac. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
To learn how to invest in Fair Stock, please use our How to Invest in Fair Isaac guide.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fair Isaac. If investors know Fair will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fair Isaac listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.277
Earnings Share
23.28
Revenue Per Share
75.203
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.15
Return On Assets
0.287
The market value of Fair Isaac is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fair that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fair Isaac's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fair Isaac's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fair Isaac's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fair Isaac's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fair Isaac's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fair Isaac is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fair Isaac's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.