Oragenics Stock Market Value
OGEN Stock | USD 1.38 0.01 0.72% |
Symbol | Oragenics |
Oragenics Price To Book Ratio
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Oragenics. If investors know Oragenics will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Oragenics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Oragenics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Oragenics that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Oragenics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Oragenics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Oragenics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Oragenics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Oragenics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Oragenics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oragenics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Oragenics 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Oragenics' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Oragenics.
04/29/2025 |
| 07/28/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Oragenics on April 29, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Oragenics or generate 0.0% return on investment in Oragenics over 90 days. Oragenics is related to or competes with Traws Pharma, Jaguar Animal, Grace Therapeutics,, Quoin Pharmaceuticals, and Tonix Pharmaceuticals. Oragenics, Inc. develops antibiotics for infectious diseases in the United States More
Oragenics Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Oragenics' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Oragenics upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Information Ratio | (0.13) | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 101.09 | |||
Value At Risk | (15.10) | |||
Potential Upside | 11.11 |
Oragenics Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Oragenics' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Oragenics' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Oragenics historical prices to predict the future Oragenics' volatility.Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.08) | |||
Jensen Alpha | (1.61) | |||
Total Risk Alpha | (4.25) | |||
Treynor Ratio | (0.89) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oragenics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Oragenics Backtested Returns
Oragenics maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.12, which implies the firm had a -0.12 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Oragenics exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Oragenics' Coefficient Of Variation of (873.90), risk adjusted performance of (0.08), and Variance of 130.22 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of 1.47, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Oragenics will likely underperform. At this point, Oragenics has a negative expected return of -1.41%. Please make sure to check Oragenics' jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to decide if Oragenics performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.38 |
Below average predictability
Oragenics has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Oragenics time series from 29th of April 2025 to 13th of June 2025 and 13th of June 2025 to 28th of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Oragenics price movement. The serial correlation of 0.38 indicates that just about 38.0% of current Oragenics price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient | 0.38 | |
Spearman Rank Test | 0.22 | |
Residual Average | 0.0 | |
Price Variance | 1.42 |
Oragenics lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Oragenics stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Oragenics' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Oragenics returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Oragenics has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
Timeline |
Oragenics regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Oragenics stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Oragenics stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Oragenics stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
Timeline |
Oragenics Lagged Returns
When evaluating Oragenics' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Oragenics stock have on its future price. Oragenics autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Oragenics autocorrelation shows the relationship between Oragenics stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Oragenics.
Regressed Prices |
Timeline |
Pair Trading with Oragenics
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Oragenics position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Oragenics will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Oragenics Stock
Moving against Oragenics Stock
0.87 | PTHL | Pheton Holdings Trending | PairCorr |
0.86 | ZOTA | Zota Health Care | PairCorr |
0.84 | PFE | Pfizer Inc Earnings Call Next Week | PairCorr |
0.82 | METROPOLIS | Metropolis Healthcare | PairCorr |
0.78 | AMGN | Amgen Inc Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Oragenics could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Oragenics when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Oragenics - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Oragenics to buy it.
The correlation of Oragenics is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Oragenics moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Oragenics moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Oragenics can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Oragenics Correlation, Oragenics Volatility and Oragenics Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Oragenics. To learn how to invest in Oragenics Stock, please use our How to Invest in Oragenics guide.You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Oragenics technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.