Hcw Biologics Stock Market Value

HCWB Stock  USD 0.37  0.05  11.90%   
HCW Biologics' market value is the price at which a share of HCW Biologics trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of HCW Biologics investors about its performance. HCW Biologics is trading at 0.37 as of the 11th of November 2024, a 11.9 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 0.42.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of HCW Biologics and determine expected loss or profit from investing in HCW Biologics over a given investment horizon. Check out HCW Biologics Correlation, HCW Biologics Volatility and HCW Biologics Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on HCW Biologics.
For information on how to trade HCW Stock refer to our How to Trade HCW Stock guide.
Symbol

HCW Biologics Price To Book Ratio

Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of HCW Biologics. If investors know HCW will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about HCW Biologics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.05)
Revenue Per Share
0.107
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
Return On Assets
(0.70)
Return On Equity
(3.44)
The market value of HCW Biologics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of HCW that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of HCW Biologics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is HCW Biologics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because HCW Biologics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect HCW Biologics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between HCW Biologics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if HCW Biologics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, HCW Biologics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

HCW Biologics 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to HCW Biologics' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of HCW Biologics.
0.00
10/12/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in HCW Biologics on October 12, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding HCW Biologics or generate 0.0% return on investment in HCW Biologics over 30 days. HCW Biologics is related to or competes with Anebulo Pharmaceuticals, Rezolute, Molecular Partners, MediciNova, Champions Oncology, Pmv Pharmaceuticals, and Pharvaris. HCW Biologics Inc., a preclinical stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on discovering and developing novel immunothe... More

HCW Biologics Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure HCW Biologics' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess HCW Biologics upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

HCW Biologics Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for HCW Biologics' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as HCW Biologics' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use HCW Biologics historical prices to predict the future HCW Biologics' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of HCW Biologics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.369.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.091.7710.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.299.10
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.466.006.66
Details

HCW Biologics Backtested Returns

HCW Biologics holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0462, which attests that the company had a -0.0462% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. HCW Biologics exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out HCW Biologics' market risk adjusted performance of 0.5064, and Coefficient Of Variation of (2,403) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The firm retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.75, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning HCW Biologics are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, HCW Biologics is likely to outperform the market. At this point, HCW Biologics has a negative expected return of -0.41%. Please make sure to check out HCW Biologics' accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the day typical price and relative strength index , to decide if HCW Biologics performance from the past will be repeated at future time.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.85  

Very good predictability

HCW Biologics has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between HCW Biologics time series from 12th of October 2024 to 27th of October 2024 and 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of HCW Biologics price movement. The serial correlation of 0.85 indicates that around 85.0% of current HCW Biologics price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.85
Spearman Rank Test0.61
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

HCW Biologics lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is HCW Biologics stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting HCW Biologics' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of HCW Biologics returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that HCW Biologics has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

HCW Biologics regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If HCW Biologics stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if HCW Biologics stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in HCW Biologics stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

HCW Biologics Lagged Returns

When evaluating HCW Biologics' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of HCW Biologics stock have on its future price. HCW Biologics autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, HCW Biologics autocorrelation shows the relationship between HCW Biologics stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in HCW Biologics.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether HCW Biologics offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of HCW Biologics' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Hcw Biologics Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Hcw Biologics Stock:
Check out HCW Biologics Correlation, HCW Biologics Volatility and HCW Biologics Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on HCW Biologics.
For information on how to trade HCW Stock refer to our How to Trade HCW Stock guide.
You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
HCW Biologics technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of HCW Biologics technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of HCW Biologics trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...