Is Twilio Stock a Good Investment?

Twilio Investment Advice

TWLO

To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Twilio Inc stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Twilio Inc. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Twilio in one of your diversified portfolios:

Examine Twilio's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
Research Twilio's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Twilio navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
Consider the overall health of the Internet Services & Infrastructure space and any emerging trends that could impact Twilio's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
Compare Twilio's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Twilio is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
Check if Twilio pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
Review what financial analysts are saying about Twilio's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.

It's important to note that investing in Twilio Inc stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Twilio Inc is a good investment.

Sell

Buy

Strong Buy

Macroaxis provides recommendation on Twilio Inc to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Twilio Inc. Our trade recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Twilio Inc is not overpriced, please validate all Twilio fundamentals, including its current ratio, total asset, and the relationship between the net income and price to earnings to growth . Given that Twilio Inc has a price to earning of (62.00) X, we advise you to double-check Twilio Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance	Solid	Details
Volatility	Very steady	Details
Hype Condition	Under hyped	Details
Current Valuation	Overvalued	Details
Odds Of Distress	Low	Details
Economic Sensitivity	Follows the market closely	Details
Investor Sentiment	Alarmed	Details
Analyst Consensus	Buy	Details
Financial Strenth (F Score)	Healthy	Details
Financial Leverage	Not Rated	Details
Reporting Quality (M-Score)	Unlikely Manipulator	Details

Examine Twilio Stock

Researching Twilio's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.81. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Twilio Inc recorded a loss per share of 2.57. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:20 split on the December 12, 2007.

To determine if Twilio is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Twilio's research are outlined below:

	The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.15 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.02 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.81 B.
	Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
	Latest headline from apnews.com: Fighting conspiracy theories with comedy Thats what the Onion hopes after its purchase of Infowars

Twilio Quarterly Accounts Payable

71.32 Million

Twilio uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Twilio Inc. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Twilio's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.

	14th of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report	View
	14th of May 2024 Next Financial Report	View
	31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End	View
	14th of February 2024 Next Fiscal Year End	View
	30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report	View
	31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement	View

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Twilio's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Twilio's investors have experienced.

Reported	Fiscal Date	Estimated EPS	Reported EPS	Surprise
2021-07-29	2021-06-30	-0.13	-0.11	0.02	15
2019-10-30	2019-09-30	0.01	0.03	0.02	200
2017-05-02	2017-03-31	-0.06	-0.04	0.02	33
2020-02-05	2019-12-31	0.01	0.04	0.03	300
2018-05-08	2018-03-31	-0.07	-0.04	0.03	42
2018-02-13	2017-12-31	-0.06	-0.03	0.03	50
2019-04-30	2019-03-31	0.01	0.05	0.04	400
2016-11-03	2016-09-30	-0.08	-0.04	0.04	50

Know Twilio's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Twilio is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Twilio Inc backward and forwards among themselves. Twilio's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Twilio's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.

		Shares
Alyeska Investment Group, L.p.	2024-06-30	3.2 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc	2024-06-30	2.7 M
Norges Bank	2024-06-30	2.5 M
Pacer Advisors, Inc.	2024-06-30	2.3 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.	2024-06-30	2.3 M
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp	2024-06-30	1.9 M
Amazon.com Inc	2024-09-30	1.8 M
Point72 Asset Management, L.p.	2024-06-30	1.3 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc	2024-06-30	1.3 M
Vanguard Group Inc	2024-06-30	16.6 M
Blackrock Inc	2024-06-30	11.1 M

Note, although Twilio's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Twilio's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 14.9 B.

Market Cap

10.75 Billion

Twilio's profitablity analysis

	Last Reported	Projected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets	(0.17)	(0.18)
Return On Capital Employed	(0.08)	(0.08)
Return On Assets	(0.09)	(0.09)
Return On Equity	(0.10)	(0.11)

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.11) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average.

Determining Twilio's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Twilio is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Twilio's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Twilio's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Twilio's Earnings Breakdown by Geography

Evaluate Twilio's management efficiency

As of the 16th of November 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to -0.18. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to -0.08. At this time, Twilio's Other Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 16th of November 2024, Intangible Assets is likely to grow to about 411.2 M, while Return On Tangible Assets are likely to drop (0.18). Twilio's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Twilio manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.

	Last Reported	Projected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share	53.09	55.74
Tangible Book Value Per Share	22.58	23.70
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA	(143.82)	(151.01)
Price Book Value Ratio	1.43	1.36
Enterprise Value Multiple	(143.82)	(151.01)
Price Fair Value	1.43	1.36
Enterprise Value	14.4 B	10.8 B

The decision-making processes within Twilio are key to its success in a competitive market. By evaluating these processes, we assess the stock's potential for future gains.

Beta

1.322

Basic technical analysis of Twilio Stock

As of the 16th of November 2024, Twilio has the Coefficient Of Variation of 337.77, semi deviation of 1.23, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2302. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Twilio Inc, as well as the relationship between them.

Twilio's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Twilio insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Twilio's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Twilio insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

		Stafman Andrew over two months ago Acquisition by Stafman Andrew of 1250 shares of Twilio subject to Rule 16b-3
		Bell Charles H over two months ago Acquisition by Bell Charles H of 1268 shares of Twilio subject to Rule 16b-3
		Erika Rottenberg over two months ago Acquisition by Erika Rottenberg of 1296 shares of Twilio subject to Rule 16b-3
		Dana Wagner over two months ago Disposition of 591 shares by Dana Wagner of Twilio at 60.87 subject to Rule 16b-3
		Aidan Viggiano over three months ago Disposition of 6666 shares by Aidan Viggiano of Twilio at 57.6835 subject to Rule 16b-3
		Khozema Shipchandler over three months ago Disposition of 24657 shares by Khozema Shipchandler of Twilio at 57.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
		Aidan Viggiano over three months ago Disposition of 956 shares by Aidan Viggiano of Twilio at 61.69 subject to Rule 16b-3
		Stafman Andrew over six months ago Discretionary transaction by Stafman Andrew of tradable shares of Twilio subject to Rule 16b-3
		Suzuki Miyuki over six months ago Acquisition by Suzuki Miyuki of 1192 shares of Twilio subject to Rule 16b-3
		Aidan Viggiano over six months ago Sale by Aidan Viggiano of 1121 shares of Twilio
		Aidan Viggiano over a year ago Sale by Aidan Viggiano of 3147 shares of Twilio
		Aidan Viggiano over a year ago Sale by Aidan Viggiano of 6121 shares of Twilio

Twilio's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Twilio issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Twilio Inc uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Twilio bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Twilio Inc has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

	US90138FAC68 Corp Bond US90138FAC68	View
	US90138FAD42 Corp Bond US90138FAD42	View
	Boeing Co 2196 Corp Bond US097023DG73	View
	MPLX LP 4125 Corp Bond US55336VAK61	View
	MPLX LP 52 Corp Bond US55336VAL45	View
	International Game Technology Corp Bond US460599AD57	View
	Valero Energy Partners Corp Bond US91914JAA07	View

View All Twilio Corporate Bonds

Understand Twilio's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Twilio's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

	Risk Adjusted Performance	0.2302
	Market Risk Adjusted Performance	1.1
	Mean Deviation	1.58
	Semi Deviation	1.23
	Downside Deviation	1.75
	Coefficient Of Variation	337.77
	Standard Deviation	2.48
	Variance	6.17
	Information Ratio	0.2531
	Jensen Alpha	0.6608
	Total Risk Alpha	0.4065
	Sortino Ratio	0.36
	Treynor Ratio	1.09
	Maximum Drawdown	17.01
	Value At Risk	(2.49)
	Potential Upside	3.52
	Downside Variance	3.05
	Semi Variance	1.51
	Expected Short fall	(1.97)
	Skewness	2.34
	Kurtosis	13.03

	Risk Adjusted Performance	0.2302
	Market Risk Adjusted Performance	1.1
	Mean Deviation	1.58
	Semi Deviation	1.23
	Downside Deviation	1.75
	Coefficient Of Variation	337.77
	Standard Deviation	2.48
	Variance	6.17
	Information Ratio	0.2531
	Jensen Alpha	0.6608
	Total Risk Alpha	0.4065
	Sortino Ratio	0.36
	Treynor Ratio	1.09
	Maximum Drawdown	17.01
	Value At Risk	(2.49)
	Potential Upside	3.52
	Downside Variance	3.05
	Semi Variance	1.51
	Expected Short fall	(1.97)
	Skewness	2.34
	Kurtosis	13.03

Consider Twilio's intraday indicators

Twilio intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Twilio stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

	Accumulation Distribution	62198.96
	Daily Balance Of Power	(0.28)
	Rate Of Daily Change	0.99
	Day Median Price	97.04
	Day Typical Price	96.89
	Price Action Indicator	(0.71)
	Period Momentum Indicator	(0.54)

Twilio Corporate Filings

13A	12th of November 2024 The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934	View Verify
F4	8th of November 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities	View Verify
10Q	31st of October 2024 Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations	View Verify
8K	30th of October 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about	View Verify

Twilio time-series forecasting models is one of many Twilio's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Twilio's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Twilio Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Twilio that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Twilio media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Twilio internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Twilio data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.

A primary focus of Twilio news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Twilio relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Twilio's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Twilio alpha.

Twilio Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Twilio can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.

Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Twilio Inc Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to Twilio's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Twilio. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Twilio can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Twilio Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.

Twilio's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Twilio and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Twilio news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on Twilio.

Twilio Corporate Directors

Donna Dubinsky	Independent Director	Profile
Erika Rottenberg	Independent Director	Profile
Deval Patrick	Independent Director	Profile
Jeffrey Immelt	Independent Director	Profile

When determining whether Twilio Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Twilio's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Twilio Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Twilio Inc Stock: