Telkom Indonesia Tbk Stock Price Prediction
| TLK Stock | USD 15.53 0.84 5.13% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
47
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.12) | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.6454 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.7968 | Wall Street Target Price 22.2961 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
Using Telkom Indonesia hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Telkom Indonesia Tbk from the perspective of Telkom Indonesia response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Telkom Indonesia to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Telkom because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Telkom Indonesia after-hype prediction price | USD 15.58 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Telkom |
Telkom Indonesia After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Telkom Indonesia at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Telkom Indonesia or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Telkom Indonesia, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Telkom Indonesia Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Telkom Indonesia's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Telkom Indonesia's historical news coverage. Telkom Indonesia's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.74 and 17.42, respectively. We have considered Telkom Indonesia's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Telkom Indonesia is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Telkom Indonesia Tbk is based on 3 months time horizon.
Telkom Indonesia Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Telkom Indonesia is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Telkom Indonesia backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Telkom Indonesia, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.42 | 1.92 | 0.05 | 3.52 | 3 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
15.53 | 15.58 | 0.26 |
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Telkom Indonesia Hype Timeline
On the 19th of December Telkom Indonesia Tbk is traded for 15.53. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -3.52. Telkom is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 15.58. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.26%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.42%. The volatility of related hype on Telkom Indonesia is about 22.93%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.01. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.92. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Telkom Indonesia Tbk last dividend was issued on the 17th of May 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 26th of October 2016. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Telkom Indonesia Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Telkom Indonesia Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Telkom Indonesia's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Telkom Indonesia's future price movements. Getting to know how Telkom Indonesia's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Telkom Indonesia may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TMUS | T Mobile | 1.15 | 8 per month | 1.66 | 0.08 | 2.03 | (2.97) | 11.83 | |
| CMCSA | Comcast Corp | 0.24 | 8 per month | 2.10 | (0.01) | 1.72 | (2.36) | 15.56 | |
| CHTR | Charter Communications | (34.81) | 10 per month | 2.21 | 0.03 | 3.63 | (3.13) | 21.07 | |
| VOD | Vodafone Group PLC | (0.08) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.06 | (2.17) | 11.18 |
Telkom Indonesia Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Telkom price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Telkom using various technical indicators. When you analyze Telkom charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Telkom Indonesia Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Telkom Indonesia stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Telkom Indonesia Tbk, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Telkom Indonesia based on analysis of Telkom Indonesia hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Telkom Indonesia's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Telkom Indonesia's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0416 | 0.04 | 0.042 | 0.0287 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.79 | 2.52 | 2.65 | 4.66 |
Story Coverage note for Telkom Indonesia
The number of cover stories for Telkom Indonesia depends on current market conditions and Telkom Indonesia's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Telkom Indonesia is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Telkom Indonesia's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Telkom Indonesia Short Properties
Telkom Indonesia's future price predictability will typically decrease when Telkom Indonesia's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Telkom Indonesia Tbk often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Telkom Indonesia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Telkom Indonesia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 990.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 30.7 T |
Check out Telkom Indonesia Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Diversified Telecommunication Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Telkom Indonesia. If investors know Telkom will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Telkom Indonesia listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.12) | Dividend Share 178.504 | Earnings Share 1.42 | Revenue Per Share 75.8 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
The market value of Telkom Indonesia Tbk is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Telkom that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Telkom Indonesia's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Telkom Indonesia's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Telkom Indonesia's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Telkom Indonesia's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Telkom Indonesia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Telkom Indonesia is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Telkom Indonesia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.