Vodafone Group Plc Stock Price Prediction
| VOD Stock | USD 8.77 0.09 1.04% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
39
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 8.21 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.55 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.78 | Wall Street Target Price 12.377 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.016 |
Using Vodafone Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vodafone Group PLC from the perspective of Vodafone Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Vodafone Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Vodafone because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Vodafone Group after-hype prediction price | USD 8.77 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Vodafone |
Vodafone Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Vodafone Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vodafone Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Vodafone Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Vodafone Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Vodafone Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vodafone Group's historical news coverage. Vodafone Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.12 and 10.42, respectively. We have considered Vodafone Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Vodafone Group is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vodafone Group PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Vodafone Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vodafone Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vodafone Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vodafone Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 1.65 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 11 Events / Month | 10 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
8.77 | 8.77 | 0.00 |
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Vodafone Group Hype Timeline
On the 16th of November 2024 Vodafone Group PLC is traded for 8.77. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.15. Vodafone is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on Vodafone Group is about 167.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.62. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.36. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Vodafone Group PLC has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.61. The entity last dividend was issued on the 22nd of November 2024. The firm had 4905:5000 split on the 24th of February 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Vodafone Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Vodafone Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Vodafone Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vodafone Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Vodafone Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vodafone Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VIV | Telefonica Brasil SA | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.46 | (2.93) | 7.79 | |
| ORAN | Orange SA ADR | (0.01) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 1.40 | (1.92) | 5.67 | |
| TV | Grupo Televisa SAB | 0.09 | 7 per month | 4.09 | 0.02 | 5.38 | (6.56) | 20.33 | |
| AMX | America Movil SAB | 0.28 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.58 | (2.88) | 7.18 | |
| TEF | Telefonica SA ADR | (0.03) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.12 | (1.45) | 6.16 | |
| SKM | SK Telecom Co | (0.03) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.11 | (1.71) | 5.94 | |
| T | ATT Inc | 0.29 | 8 per month | 0.78 | 0.15 | 2.56 | (1.72) | 6.47 | |
| TMUS | T Mobile | (0.56) | 9 per month | 0.98 | 0.15 | 1.80 | (1.69) | 8.79 | |
| CMCSA | Comcast Corp | (0.25) | 9 per month | 1.09 | 0.03 | 2.52 | (2.10) | 8.17 | |
| LUMN | Lumen Technologies | 0.12 | 8 per month | 4.65 | 0.12 | 9.55 | (8.11) | 27.32 | |
| DISH | DISH Network | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.14 | (0) | 6.90 | (6.81) | 28.09 | |
| VZ | Verizon Communications | (0.28) | 8 per month | 1.36 | (0.01) | 2.16 | (2.05) | 8.86 | |
| CHTR | Charter Communications | (12.42) | 9 per month | 1.58 | 0.03 | 3.63 | (2.95) | 15.54 |
Vodafone Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Vodafone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vodafone using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vodafone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Vodafone Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Vodafone Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Vodafone Group PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vodafone Group based on analysis of Vodafone Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Vodafone Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Vodafone Group's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0573 | 0.0867 | 0.0109 | 0.0104 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.96 | 0.62 | 6.05 | 4.14 |
Story Coverage note for Vodafone Group
The number of cover stories for Vodafone Group depends on current market conditions and Vodafone Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vodafone Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vodafone Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Vodafone Group Short Properties
Vodafone Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Vodafone Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Vodafone Group PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Vodafone Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vodafone Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.7 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 11.3 B |
Complementary Tools for Vodafone Stock analysis
When running Vodafone Group's price analysis, check to measure Vodafone Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vodafone Group is operating at the current time. Most of Vodafone Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vodafone Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vodafone Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vodafone Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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