Triumph Group Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 8.51 170.16 25,870 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 254.25 376.29 498.32 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Lower Middle Band Upper 248.33 256.76 265.19 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Triumph. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Triumph's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Triumph's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Triumph Group.

Triumph After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Triumph Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Triumph Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
16.45	122.03	0.16	7.17	6 Events / Month	5 Events / Month	In about 6 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
257.00	256.84	0.06	1,220,300   Notes

Triumph Hype Timeline

On the 11th of August 2025 Triumph Group is traded for 257.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.16, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -7.17. Triumph is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 256.84. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 16.45%. The volatility of related hype on Triumph is about 28006.89%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 249.83. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.2. Triumph Group last dividend was issued on the 28th of February 2020. The entity had 2:1 split on the 15th of July 2011. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.

Triumph Related Hype Analysis

Triumph Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Triumph price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Triumph using various technical indicators. When you analyze Triumph charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Triumph stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Triumph Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Triumph based on analysis of Triumph hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Triumph depends on current market conditions and Triumph's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Triumph is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Triumph's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Triumph's future price predictability will typically decrease when Triumph's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Triumph Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Triumph's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Triumph's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

If you are still planning to invest in Triumph Group check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Triumph's history and understand the potential risks before investing.