Primerica Stock Price Prediction
| PRI Stock | USD 287.15 8.44 2.86% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
68
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.143 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 4.78 | EPS Estimate Current Year 19.2313 | EPS Estimate Next Year 20.7563 | Wall Street Target Price 311.5 |
Using Primerica hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Primerica from the perspective of Primerica response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Primerica using Primerica's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Primerica using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Primerica's stock price.
Primerica Implied Volatility | 1.0 |
Primerica's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Primerica stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Primerica's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Primerica stock will not fluctuate a lot when Primerica's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Primerica to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Primerica because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Primerica after-hype prediction price | USD 295.29 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Primerica contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Primerica will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0625% per day over the life of the 2024-12-20 option contract. With Primerica trading at USD 287.15, that is roughly USD 0.18 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Primerica's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Primerica options at the current volatility level of 1.0%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Primerica |
Primerica After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Primerica at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Primerica or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Primerica, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Primerica Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Primerica's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Primerica's historical news coverage. Primerica's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 294.09 and 296.49, respectively. We have considered Primerica's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Primerica is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Primerica is based on 3 months time horizon.
Primerica Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Primerica is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Primerica backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Primerica, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 1.25 | 0.25 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
287.15 | 295.29 | 0.10 |
|
Primerica Hype Timeline
On the 9th of December Primerica is traded for 287.15. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.25, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Primerica is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 295.29. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 106.84%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Primerica is about 18055.56%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 287.15. About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.05. Primerica recorded earning per share (EPS) of 19.95. The entity last dividend was issued on the 21st of November 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Primerica Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Primerica Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Primerica's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Primerica's future price movements. Getting to know how Primerica's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Primerica may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Primerica Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Primerica price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Primerica using various technical indicators. When you analyze Primerica charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Primerica Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Primerica stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Primerica, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Primerica based on analysis of Primerica hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Primerica's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Primerica's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0123 | 0.0155 | 0.0127 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.24 | 1.98 | 2.63 |
Story Coverage note for Primerica
The number of cover stories for Primerica depends on current market conditions and Primerica's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Primerica is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Primerica's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Primerica Short Properties
Primerica's future price predictability will typically decrease when Primerica's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Primerica often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Primerica's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Primerica's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 36 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 B |
Complementary Tools for Primerica Stock analysis
When running Primerica's price analysis, check to measure Primerica's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Primerica is operating at the current time. Most of Primerica's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Primerica's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Primerica's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Primerica to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Portfolio Suggestion Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios | |
| Aroon Oscillator Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios | |
| Financial Widgets Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets | |
| Piotroski F Score Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals | |
| Portfolio Volatility Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk | |
| Global Correlations Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets | |
| Efficient Frontier Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market. | |
| Transaction History View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance | |
| Stock Screener Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook. |