Progressive Corp Stock Price Prediction
| PGR Stock | USD 247.15 3.80 1.51% |
Momentum 35
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Progressive Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Progressive Corp from the perspective of Progressive Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Progressive Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Progressive because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Progressive Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 247.31 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Progressive | Build AI portfolio with Progressive Stock |
Progressive Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Progressive Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Progressive Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Progressive Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Progressive Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Progressive Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Progressive Corp's historical news coverage. Progressive Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 245.97 and 248.65, respectively. We have considered Progressive Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Progressive Corp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Progressive Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Progressive Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Progressive Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Progressive Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Progressive Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 1.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
247.15 | 247.31 | 0.06 |
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Progressive Corp Hype Timeline
On the 17th of August 2025 Progressive Corp is traded for 247.15. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Progressive is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 247.31 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.23%. The volatility of related hype on Progressive Corp is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 247.15. The company reported the last year's revenue of 75.34 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 8.48 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 13.91 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Progressive Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Progressive Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Progressive Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Progressive Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Progressive Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Progressive Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ALL | The Allstate | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.11 | (2.18) | 7.62 | |
| CB | Chubb | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 1.61 | (1.56) | 5.07 | |
| CINF | Cincinnati Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.31 | (0.06) | 2.41 | (2.02) | 5.62 | |
| HIG | Hartford Financial Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.70 | (1.90) | 4.68 | |
| MKL | Markel | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.28 | (0.07) | 1.69 | (1.63) | 6.46 | |
| MMC | Marsh McLennan Companies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 1.11 | (1.96) | 4.21 | |
| TRV | The Travelers Companies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.93 | (2.00) | 6.17 | |
| WRB | W R Berkley | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.63 | (2.00) | 4.82 |
Progressive Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Progressive price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Progressive using various technical indicators. When you analyze Progressive charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Progressive Corp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Progressive Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Progressive Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Progressive Corp based on analysis of Progressive Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Progressive Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Progressive Corp's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Progressive Corp
The number of cover stories for Progressive Corp depends on current market conditions and Progressive Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Progressive Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Progressive Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Progressive Corp Short Properties
Progressive Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Progressive Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Progressive Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Progressive Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Progressive Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 587.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 76.1 B |
Additional Tools for Progressive Stock Analysis
When running Progressive Corp's price analysis, check to measure Progressive Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Progressive Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Progressive Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Progressive Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Progressive Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Progressive Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.