Lumen Technologies Stock Price Prediction
| LUMN Stock | USD 4.45 0.01 0.22% |
Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Lumen Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lumen Technologies from the perspective of Lumen Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lumen Technologies to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lumen because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Lumen Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 4.44 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Lumen Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Lumen Technologies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lumen Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lumen Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lumen Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lumen Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lumen Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lumen Technologies' historical news coverage. Lumen Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.46 and 7.42, respectively. We have considered Lumen Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lumen Technologies is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lumen Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lumen Technologies Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lumen Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lumen Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lumen Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 2.98 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.45 | 4.44 | 0.22 |
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Lumen Technologies Hype Timeline
Lumen Technologies is now traded for 4.45. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Lumen is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 4.44. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.22%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Lumen Technologies is about 3047.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.46. About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.32. Lumen Technologies last dividend was issued on the 29th of August 2022. The entity had 3:2 split on the 1st of April 1999. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be uncertain. Check out Lumen Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Lumen Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lumen Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lumen Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Lumen Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lumen Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| T | ATT Inc | 0.09 | 7 per month | 1.14 | (0.09) | 2.03 | (2.13) | 5.71 | |
| VZ | Verizon Communications | 0.18 | 8 per month | 0.88 | (0.09) | 2.26 | (1.53) | 5.71 | |
| VOD | Vodafone Group PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.02 | 0.06 | 2.49 | (2.26) | 10.13 | |
| TMUS | T Mobile | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.22 | (2.20) | 8.00 | |
| WBD | Warner Bros Discovery | 0.41 | 6 per month | 1.54 | 0.22 | 5.04 | (3.03) | 11.82 | |
| VTRS | Viatris | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.97 | (0.03) | 3.74 | (3.46) | 10.12 | |
| IRM | Iron Mountain Incorporated | 0.20 | 7 per month | 1.15 | 0.02 | 2.13 | (1.72) | 8.65 | |
| MPW | Medical Properties Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 2.29 | (3.13) | 11.07 | |
| OKE | ONEOK Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.44 | (0.07) | 2.49 | (2.40) | 6.83 |
Lumen Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lumen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lumen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lumen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Lumen Technologies Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Lumen Technologies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lumen Technologies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lumen Technologies based on analysis of Lumen Technologies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lumen Technologies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lumen Technologies's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Lumen Technologies
The number of cover stories for Lumen Technologies depends on current market conditions and Lumen Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lumen Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lumen Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lumen Technologies Short Properties
Lumen Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Lumen Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lumen Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lumen Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lumen Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 987.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.9 B |
Check out Lumen Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Lumen Stock, please use our How to Invest in Lumen Technologies guide.You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Is Diversified Telecommunication Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lumen Technologies. If investors know Lumen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lumen Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Lumen Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lumen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lumen Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lumen Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lumen Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lumen Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lumen Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lumen Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lumen Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.