Equity Lifestyle Properties Stock Price Prediction
| ELS Stock | USD 73.13 1.32 1.84% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
0
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.243 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.43 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.89 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.94 | Wall Street Target Price 72.19 |
Using Equity Lifestyle hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Equity Lifestyle Properties from the perspective of Equity Lifestyle response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Equity Lifestyle using Equity Lifestyle's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Equity using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Equity Lifestyle's stock price.
Equity Lifestyle Short Interest
An investor who is long Equity Lifestyle may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Equity Lifestyle and may potentially protect profits, hedge Equity Lifestyle with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 66.9199 | Short Percent 0.0217 | Short Ratio 2.94 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.3 M | 50 Day MA 70.8266 |
Equity Lifestyle Pro Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Equity Lifestyle's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Equity. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Equity can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Equity Lifestyle Properties. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Equity Lifestyle's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Equity Lifestyle.
Equity Lifestyle Implied Volatility | 23.29 |
Equity Lifestyle's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Equity Lifestyle Properties stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Equity Lifestyle's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Equity Lifestyle stock will not fluctuate a lot when Equity Lifestyle's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Equity Lifestyle to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Equity because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Equity Lifestyle after-hype prediction price | USD 72.98 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Equity contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Equity Lifestyle Properties will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.46% per day over the life of the 2024-10-18 option contract. With Equity Lifestyle trading at USD 73.13, that is roughly USD 1.06 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Equity Lifestyle's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Equity Lifestyle Properties options at the current volatility level of 23.29%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
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Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Equity Lifestyle's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Equity Lifestyle After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Equity Lifestyle at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Equity Lifestyle or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Equity Lifestyle, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Equity Lifestyle Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Equity Lifestyle's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Equity Lifestyle's historical news coverage. Equity Lifestyle's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 71.78 and 74.18, respectively. We have considered Equity Lifestyle's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Equity Lifestyle is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Equity Lifestyle Pro is based on 3 months time horizon.
Equity Lifestyle Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Equity Lifestyle is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Equity Lifestyle backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Equity Lifestyle, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 1.20 | 0.15 | 0.06 | 9 Events / Month | 11 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
73.13 | 72.98 | 0.21 |
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Equity Lifestyle Hype Timeline
On the 24th of September Equity Lifestyle Pro is traded for 73.13. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Equity is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 72.98. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 176.47%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.21%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on Equity Lifestyle is about 462.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 73.19. About 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company last dividend was issued on the 27th of September 2024. Equity Lifestyle Pro had 2:1 split on the 16th of October 2019. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Equity Lifestyle Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Equity Lifestyle Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Equity Lifestyle's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Equity Lifestyle's future price movements. Getting to know how Equity Lifestyle's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Equity Lifestyle may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Equity Lifestyle Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Equity price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Equity using various technical indicators. When you analyze Equity charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Equity Lifestyle Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Equity Lifestyle stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Equity Lifestyle Properties, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Equity Lifestyle based on analysis of Equity Lifestyle hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Equity Lifestyle's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Equity Lifestyle's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0171 | 0.0259 | 0.0249 | 0.0236 | Price To Sales Ratio | 12.76 | 8.39 | 8.81 | 9.25 |
Story Coverage note for Equity Lifestyle
The number of cover stories for Equity Lifestyle depends on current market conditions and Equity Lifestyle's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Equity Lifestyle is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Equity Lifestyle's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Equity Lifestyle Short Properties
Equity Lifestyle's future price predictability will typically decrease when Equity Lifestyle's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Equity Lifestyle Properties often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Equity Lifestyle's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Equity Lifestyle's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 195.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 29.9 M |
Additional Tools for Equity Stock Analysis
When running Equity Lifestyle's price analysis, check to measure Equity Lifestyle's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Equity Lifestyle is operating at the current time. Most of Equity Lifestyle's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Equity Lifestyle's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Equity Lifestyle's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Equity Lifestyle to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.