Defi Development Corp Stock Price Prediction
| DFDV Stock | 15.08 0.60 3.83% |
Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.30) |
Using DeFi Development hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of DeFi Development Corp from the perspective of DeFi Development response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards DeFi Development using DeFi Development's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards DeFi using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of DeFi Development's stock price.
DeFi Development Short Interest
An investor who is long DeFi Development may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about DeFi Development and may potentially protect profits, hedge DeFi Development with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 2.8501 | Short Percent 1.4354 | Short Ratio 0.09 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.1 M | 50 Day MA 9.3864 |
DeFi Development Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to DeFi Development's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in DeFi. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding DeFi can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around DeFi Development Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of DeFi Development's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about DeFi Development.
DeFi Development Implied Volatility | 1.64 |
DeFi Development's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of DeFi Development Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if DeFi Development's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that DeFi Development stock will not fluctuate a lot when DeFi Development's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in DeFi Development to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying DeFi because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
DeFi Development after-hype prediction price | USD 14.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current DeFi contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that DeFi Development Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.1% per day over the life of the 2025-10-17 option contract. With DeFi Development trading at USD 15.08, that is roughly USD 0.0155 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating DeFi Development's daily price movement you should consider acquiring DeFi Development Corp options at the current volatility level of 1.64%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out DeFi Development Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DeFi Development's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
DeFi Development After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of DeFi Development at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in DeFi Development or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of DeFi Development, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
DeFi Development Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting DeFi Development's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on DeFi Development's historical news coverage. DeFi Development's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.71 and 31.46, respectively. We have considered DeFi Development's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
DeFi Development is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of DeFi Development Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
DeFi Development Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as DeFi Development is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading DeFi Development backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with DeFi Development, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.51 | 17.27 | 1.60 | 0.90 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
15.08 | 14.20 | 10.47 |
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DeFi Development Hype Timeline
DeFi Development Corp is currently traded for 15.08. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.6, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.9. DeFi is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 14.2. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -10.47%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.51%. The volatility of related hype on DeFi Development is about 2896.44%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.98. About 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.26. DeFi Development Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 7:1 split on the 21st of May 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out DeFi Development Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.DeFi Development Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to DeFi Development's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict DeFi Development's future price movements. Getting to know how DeFi Development's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how DeFi Development may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HWKN | Hawkins | 3.74 | 9 per month | 0.57 | 0.30 | 3.24 | (1.35) | 7.40 | |
| LXFR | Luxfer Holdings PLC | 0.07 | 9 per month | 1.72 | 0.02 | 3.95 | (2.70) | 8.95 | |
| AMBO | Ambow Education Holding | 0.12 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 7.26 | (7.78) | 27.53 | |
| MOS | The Mosaic | 0.18 | 10 per month | 2.78 | (0) | 3.38 | (2.13) | 17.22 | |
| IH | Ihuman Inc | (0.43) | 7 per month | 3.04 | 0.05 | 5.60 | (4.60) | 35.56 | |
| FSTR | LB Foster | 0.18 | 7 per month | 2.12 | 0.03 | 3.81 | (3.05) | 11.13 | |
| UAN | CVR Partners LP | 0.84 | 7 per month | 0.44 | 0.15 | 2.17 | (1.27) | 6.73 | |
| HAFN | Hafnia Limited | 0.07 | 8 per month | 1.60 | 0.05 | 3.55 | (2.73) | 9.02 |
DeFi Development Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine DeFi price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for DeFi using various technical indicators. When you analyze DeFi charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About DeFi Development Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of DeFi Development stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as DeFi Development Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of DeFi Development based on analysis of DeFi Development hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to DeFi Development's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to DeFi Development's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 8.13E-4 | 7.72E-4 | Price To Sales Ratio | 50.68 | 53.78 |
Story Coverage note for DeFi Development
The number of cover stories for DeFi Development depends on current market conditions and DeFi Development's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that DeFi Development is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about DeFi Development's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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DeFi Development Short Properties
DeFi Development's future price predictability will typically decrease when DeFi Development's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of DeFi Development Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential DeFi Development's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DeFi Development's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.9 M |
Additional Tools for DeFi Stock Analysis
When running DeFi Development's price analysis, check to measure DeFi Development's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy DeFi Development is operating at the current time. Most of DeFi Development's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of DeFi Development's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move DeFi Development's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of DeFi Development to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.