Cargurus Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 29.39 31.22 39.20 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 35.64 37.47 39.30 Details

14 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 20.48 22.50 24.98 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 0.41 0.43 0.43 Details

CarGurus After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

CarGurus Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

CarGurus Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.38	1.83	0.16	0.04	9 Events / Month	4 Events / Month	In about 9 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
35.64	35.80	0.45	435.71   Notes

CarGurus Hype Timeline

CarGurus is currently traded for 35.64. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.16, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. CarGurus is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 35.8 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.45%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.38%. The volatility of related hype on CarGurus is about 1807.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.60. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 914.24 M. Net Income was 22.05 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 657.72 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out CarGurus Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in CarGurus Stock please use our How to Invest in CarGurus guide.

CarGurus Related Hype Analysis

CarGurus Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CarGurus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CarGurus using various technical indicators. When you analyze CarGurus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of CarGurus stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CarGurus, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CarGurus based on analysis of CarGurus hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for CarGurus depends on current market conditions and CarGurus' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CarGurus is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CarGurus' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

CarGurus' future price predictability will typically decrease when CarGurus' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CarGurus often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CarGurus' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CarGurus' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running CarGurus' price analysis, check to measure CarGurus' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CarGurus is operating at the current time. Most of CarGurus' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CarGurus' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CarGurus' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CarGurus to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.