Ast Spacemobile Stock Price Prediction

ASTS Stock  USD 22.88  0.12  0.52%   
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Ast Spacemobile's share price is at 56. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Ast Spacemobile, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

56

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Ast Spacemobile's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Ast Spacemobile and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Ast Spacemobile's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ast Spacemobile, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Ast Spacemobile's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.19)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(1.71)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.73)
Wall Street Target Price
35.94
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.20)
Using Ast Spacemobile hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ast Spacemobile from the perspective of Ast Spacemobile response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ast Spacemobile to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ast because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Ast Spacemobile after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 22.8  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Ast Spacemobile Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Ast Stock please use our How to Invest in Ast Spacemobile guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ast Spacemobile's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.9721.4326.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.4421.9027.35
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
21.3923.5026.09
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.49-0.43-0.38
Details

Ast Spacemobile After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Ast Spacemobile at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ast Spacemobile or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ast Spacemobile, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Ast Spacemobile Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Ast Spacemobile's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ast Spacemobile's historical news coverage. Ast Spacemobile's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.34 and 28.26, respectively. We have considered Ast Spacemobile's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
22.88
22.80
After-hype Price
28.26
Upside
Ast Spacemobile is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ast Spacemobile is based on 3 months time horizon.

Ast Spacemobile Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ast Spacemobile is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ast Spacemobile backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ast Spacemobile, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
5.42
  0.02 
  0.01 
10 Events / Month
10 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
22.88
22.80
0.35 
2,007  
Notes

Ast Spacemobile Hype Timeline

Ast Spacemobile is presently traded for 22.88. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Ast is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 22.8. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.35%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Ast Spacemobile is about 5705.26%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.87. About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 2.26. Ast Spacemobile had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Ast Spacemobile Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Ast Stock please use our How to Invest in Ast Spacemobile guide.

Ast Spacemobile Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Ast Spacemobile's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ast Spacemobile's future price movements. Getting to know how Ast Spacemobile's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ast Spacemobile may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
IRDMIridium Communications 0.33 6 per month 2.77  0.03  3.25 (4.51) 17.06 
DISHDISH Network 0.00 0 per month 4.14  0.01  6.90 (6.81) 28.09 
LUMNLumen Technologies 0.25 11 per month 0.00 (0.02) 9.06 (6.70) 27.32 
SIFYSify Technologies Limited(0.22)9 per month 4.52  0.11  12.29 (7.08) 30.44 
IDCCInterDigital 0.68 9 per month 1.05  0.24  2.83 (2.08) 13.87 
CCOICogent Communications Group(3.09)11 per month 1.38  0.06  2.95 (2.61) 7.77 
GSATGlobalstar(0.17)10 per month 3.27  0.13  8.53 (5.47) 41.79 
CABOCable One 1.22 10 per month 2.46  0.04  4.14 (4.54) 18.76 
ORANOrange SA ADR(0.02)11 per month 0.00 (0.27) 1.57 (2.18) 4.75 
TMUST Mobile 2.14 10 per month 1.58  0.09  2.03 (1.69) 11.83 
VZVerizon Communications(1.28)6 per month 0.00 (0.11) 1.91 (2.33) 6.59 
TATT Inc(0.87)6 per month 1.12  0.07  1.93 (1.99) 7.95 
CMCSAComcast Corp(0.23)9 per month 0.00 (0.04) 2.19 (2.42) 15.56 
VODVodafone Group PLC(0.07)8 per month 0.00 (0.16) 2.06 (2.55) 11.18 

Ast Spacemobile Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ast price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ast using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ast charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Ast Spacemobile Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Ast Spacemobile stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ast Spacemobile, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ast Spacemobile based on analysis of Ast Spacemobile hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ast Spacemobile's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ast Spacemobile's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding63.9444.1717.2716.41
PTB Ratio4.11.964.984.74

Story Coverage note for Ast Spacemobile

The number of cover stories for Ast Spacemobile depends on current market conditions and Ast Spacemobile's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ast Spacemobile is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ast Spacemobile's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Ast Spacemobile Short Properties

Ast Spacemobile's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ast Spacemobile's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ast Spacemobile often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ast Spacemobile's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ast Spacemobile's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding81.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments85.6 M

Additional Tools for Ast Stock Analysis

When running Ast Spacemobile's price analysis, check to measure Ast Spacemobile's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ast Spacemobile is operating at the current time. Most of Ast Spacemobile's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ast Spacemobile's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ast Spacemobile's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ast Spacemobile to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.