China Citic (China) Price Prediction
| 601998 Stock | 6.86 0.03 0.44% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
56
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.073 | Wall Street Target Price 6.95 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.31 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.127 |
Using China Citic hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of China Citic Bank from the perspective of China Citic response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in China Citic to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying China because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
China Citic after-hype prediction price | CNY 6.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
China |
China Citic After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of China Citic at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in China Citic or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of China Citic, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
China Citic Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting China Citic's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on China Citic's historical news coverage. China Citic's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.71 and 8.99, respectively. We have considered China Citic's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
China Citic is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of China Citic Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.
China Citic Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as China Citic is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading China Citic backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with China Citic, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 2.14 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 2 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.86 | 6.85 | 0.15 |
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China Citic Hype Timeline
China Citic Bank is presently traded for 6.86on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. China is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 6.85. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.3%. The volatility of related hype on China Citic is about 2459.77%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.89. About 91.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.48. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. China Citic Bank has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.98. The entity last dividend was issued on the 11th of December 2024. The firm had 1425:1354 split on the 7th of July 2011. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out China Citic Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.China Citic Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to China Citic's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict China Citic's future price movements. Getting to know how China Citic's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how China Citic may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 601398 | Industrial and Commercial | (0.04) | 2 per month | 1.05 | 0.10 | 2.83 | (2.29) | 8.14 | |
| 601939 | China Construction Bank | 0.01 | 2 per month | 1.22 | 0.10 | 3.32 | (2.12) | 8.64 | |
| 601988 | Bank of China | 0.03 | 3 per month | 1.17 | 0.06 | 2.67 | (2.33) | 7.70 | |
| 601288 | Agricultural Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.44 | 0.08 | 2.20 | (2.19) | 7.78 | |
| 601857 | PetroChina Co Ltd | (0.09) | 2 per month | 1.97 | (0) | 3.55 | (2.04) | 17.17 | |
| 600941 | China Mobile Limited | 0.71 | 2 per month | 1.03 | 0.05 | 3.09 | (2.04) | 8.38 | |
| 601318 | Ping An Insurance | 0.49 | 2 per month | 1.97 | 0.09 | 5.83 | (2.88) | 19.77 | |
| 600036 | China Merchants Bank | (0.24) | 2 per month | 1.82 | 0.10 | 4.65 | (2.62) | 13.83 | |
| 601166 | Industrial Bank Co | 0.05 | 2 per month | 1.63 | 0.05 | 3.84 | (2.56) | 12.07 | |
| 600938 | CNOOC Limited | (0.05) | 4 per month | 2.08 | 0.02 | 3.25 | (2.18) | 16.49 |
China Citic Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine China price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for China using various technical indicators. When you analyze China charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About China Citic Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of China Citic stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as China Citic Bank, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of China Citic based on analysis of China Citic hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to China Citic's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to China Citic's related companies.
Story Coverage note for China Citic
The number of cover stories for China Citic depends on current market conditions and China Citic's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that China Citic is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about China Citic's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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China Citic Short Properties
China Citic's future price predictability will typically decrease when China Citic's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of China Citic Bank often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential China Citic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China Citic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 49 B |
Complementary Tools for China Stock analysis
When running China Citic's price analysis, check to measure China Citic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Citic is operating at the current time. Most of China Citic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Citic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Citic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Citic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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