Bank of China (China) Price Prediction

601988 Stock   5.00  0.14  2.88%   
As of 19th of November 2024, The relative strength index (RSI) of Bank of China's share price is at 50. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Bank of China, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

50

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Bank of China's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bank of China, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Bank of China's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.75
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.76
Wall Street Target Price
5.04
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.22
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.126
Using Bank of China hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bank of China from the perspective of Bank of China response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bank of China to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bank because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Bank of China after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 5.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Bank of China Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.394.155.91
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.180.190.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bank of China. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bank of China's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bank of China's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bank of China.

Bank of China After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Bank of China at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bank of China or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bank of China, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Bank of China Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Bank of China's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bank of China's historical news coverage. Bank of China's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.24 and 6.76, respectively. We have considered Bank of China's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
5.00
5.00
After-hype Price
6.76
Upside
Bank of China is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bank of China is based on 3 months time horizon.

Bank of China Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bank of China is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bank of China backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bank of China, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
1.76
 0.00  
  0.01 
4 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
5.00
5.00
0.00 
4,400  
Notes

Bank of China Hype Timeline

Bank of China is presently traded for 5.00on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Bank is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bank of China is about 417.8%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.01. About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.56. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Bank of China has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.86. The entity last dividend was issued on the 17th of July 2024. The firm had 990:959 split on the 11th of November 2010. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days.
Check out Bank of China Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Bank of China Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Bank of China's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bank of China's future price movements. Getting to know how Bank of China's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bank of China may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
002494Huasi Agricultural Development 0.00 0 per month 2.69  0.1  4.18 (4.26) 17.45 
600444Sinomach General Machinery 0.00 0 per month 2.94  0.08  8.97 (5.31) 17.32 
600830Sunny Loan Top 0.57 1 per month 3.21  0.1  9.11 (4.84) 20.02 
601318Ping An Insurance(0.24)1 per month 1.69  0.15  5.83 (2.52) 19.77 
002556Anhui Huilong Agricultural 0.00 0 per month 2.70  0.03  4.60 (3.14) 15.71 
003021Henzhen Zhaowei Machinery 3.04 1 per month 2.87  0.12  9.40 (5.05) 15.97 
000880Weichai Heavy Machinery 0.00 0 per month 3.60  0.08  9.13 (5.66) 19.00 
603043Guangzhou Restaurants Group 0.00 0 per month 2.06 (0.02) 4.19 (3.00) 18.46 

Bank of China Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Bank price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bank using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bank charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Bank of China Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Bank of China stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bank of China, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bank of China based on analysis of Bank of China hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bank of China's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bank of China's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Bank of China

The number of cover stories for Bank of China depends on current market conditions and Bank of China's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bank of China is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bank of China's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Bank of China Short Properties

Bank of China's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bank of China's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bank of China often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bank of China's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank of China's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding294.4 B

Complementary Tools for Bank Stock analysis

When running Bank of China's price analysis, check to measure Bank of China's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bank of China is operating at the current time. Most of Bank of China's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bank of China's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bank of China's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bank of China to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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