Correlation Between Vanguard Small-cap and Timothy Small-cap

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Small-cap and Timothy Small-cap at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Small-cap and Timothy Small-cap into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Small Cap Index and Timothy Small Cap Value, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Small-cap and Timothy Small-cap and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Small-cap with a short position of Timothy Small-cap. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Small-cap and Timothy Small-cap.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Small-cap and Timothy Small-cap

0.99

Correlation Coefficient

Vanguard Small-cap  Timothy Small-cap

No risk reduction

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Timothy is 0.99. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Small Cap Index and Timothy Small Cap Value in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Timothy Small Cap and Vanguard Small-cap is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Small Cap Index are associated (or correlated) with Timothy Small-cap. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Timothy Small Cap has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Small-cap i.e., Vanguard Small-cap and Timothy Small-cap go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Small-cap and Timothy Small-cap

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Small Cap Index is expected to generate 0.89 times more return on investment than Timothy Small-cap. However, Vanguard Small Cap Index is 1.12 times less risky than Timothy Small-cap. It trades about 0.23 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Timothy Small Cap Value is currently generating about 0.2 per unit of risk. If you would invest  10,280  in Vanguard Small Cap Index on April 24, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,571  from holding Vanguard Small Cap Index or generate 15.28% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Very Strong
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Vanguard Small Cap Index  vs.  Timothy Small Cap Value

Vanguard Small Cap

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Small Cap Index are ranked lower than 18 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak forward indicators, Vanguard Small-cap showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Timothy Small Cap

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Timothy Small Cap Value are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak forward indicators, Timothy Small-cap showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with Vanguard Small-cap and Timothy Small-cap

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Small-cap and Timothy Small-cap positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Small-cap position performs unexpectedly, Timothy Small-cap can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Timothy Small-cap will offset losses from the drop in Timothy Small-cap's long position.

The idea behind Vanguard Small Cap Index and Timothy Small Cap Value pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.