Timothy Small Cap Value Fund Market Value

TPVIX Fund  USD 19.56  0.13  0.66%   
Timothy Small's market value is the price at which a share of Timothy Small trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Timothy Small Cap Value investors about its performance. Timothy Small is trading at 19.56 as of the 22nd of July 2025; that is 0.66 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 19.69.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Timothy Small Cap Value and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Timothy Small over a given investment horizon. Check out Timothy Small Correlation, Timothy Small Volatility and Timothy Small Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Timothy Small.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Timothy Small's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Timothy Small is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Timothy Small's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Timothy Small 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Timothy Small's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Timothy Small.
0.00
04/23/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
07/22/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Timothy Small on April 23, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Timothy Small Cap Value or generate 0.0% return on investment in Timothy Small over 90 days. Timothy Small is related to or competes with Timothy Plan, Westwood Largecap, Advisors Capital, Value Fund, and Scout Small. The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by primarily investing at least 80 percent of its total assets in U.S More

Timothy Small Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Timothy Small's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Timothy Small Cap Value upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Timothy Small Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Timothy Small's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Timothy Small's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Timothy Small historical prices to predict the future Timothy Small's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.4319.5820.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.9319.0820.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.0119.1620.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.2119.1420.08
Details

Timothy Small Cap Backtested Returns

Timothy Small appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Timothy Small Cap owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.21, which indicates the fund had a 0.21 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Timothy Small Cap Value, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please review Timothy Small's Coefficient Of Variation of 471.45, risk adjusted performance of 0.1998, and Semi Deviation of 0.7878 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The entity has a beta of -0.15, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Timothy Small are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Timothy Small is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.75  

Good predictability

Timothy Small Cap Value has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Timothy Small time series from 23rd of April 2025 to 7th of June 2025 and 7th of June 2025 to 22nd of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Timothy Small Cap price movement. The serial correlation of 0.75 indicates that around 75.0% of current Timothy Small price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.75
Spearman Rank Test0.73
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.21

Timothy Small Cap lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Timothy Small mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Timothy Small's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Timothy Small returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Timothy Small has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Timothy Small regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Timothy Small mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Timothy Small mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Timothy Small mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Timothy Small Lagged Returns

When evaluating Timothy Small's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Timothy Small mutual fund have on its future price. Timothy Small autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Timothy Small autocorrelation shows the relationship between Timothy Small mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Timothy Small Cap Value.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Timothy Mutual Fund

Timothy Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether Timothy Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Timothy with respect to the benefits of owning Timothy Small security.
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