Correlation Between Valneva SE and Supernus Pharmaceuticals

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Valneva SE and Supernus Pharmaceuticals at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Valneva SE and Supernus Pharmaceuticals into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Valneva SE ADR and Supernus Pharmaceuticals, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Valneva SE and Supernus Pharmaceuticals and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Valneva SE with a short position of Supernus Pharmaceuticals. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Valneva SE and Supernus Pharmaceuticals.

Diversification Opportunities for Valneva SE and Supernus Pharmaceuticals

-0.49

Correlation Coefficient

Valneva SE  Supernus Pharmaceuticals

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Valneva and Supernus is -0.49. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Valneva SE ADR and Supernus Pharmaceuticals in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Supernus Pharmaceuticals and Valneva SE is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Valneva SE ADR are associated (or correlated) with Supernus Pharmaceuticals. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Supernus Pharmaceuticals has no effect on the direction of Valneva SE i.e., Valneva SE and Supernus Pharmaceuticals go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Valneva SE and Supernus Pharmaceuticals

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Valneva SE ADR is expected to generate 2.14 times more return on investment than Supernus Pharmaceuticals. However, Valneva SE is 2.14 times more volatile than Supernus Pharmaceuticals. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Supernus Pharmaceuticals is currently generating about -0.11 per unit of risk. If you would invest  471.00  in Valneva SE ADR on January 18, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  208.00  from holding Valneva SE ADR or generate 44.16% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Valneva SE ADR  vs.  Supernus Pharmaceuticals

Valneva SE ADR

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Valneva SE ADR are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very uncertain essential indicators, Valneva SE displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Supernus Pharmaceuticals

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Supernus Pharmaceuticals has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of inconsistent performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in May 2025. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors.

Pair Trading with Valneva SE and Supernus Pharmaceuticals

The main advantage of trading using opposite Valneva SE and Supernus Pharmaceuticals positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Valneva SE position performs unexpectedly, Supernus Pharmaceuticals can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Supernus Pharmaceuticals will offset losses from the drop in Supernus Pharmaceuticals' long position.

The idea behind Valneva SE ADR and Supernus Pharmaceuticals pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.