Correlation Between ST Bancorp and First Commonwealth

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ST Bancorp and First Commonwealth at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ST Bancorp and First Commonwealth into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between ST Bancorp and First Commonwealth Financial, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ST Bancorp and First Commonwealth and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ST Bancorp with a short position of First Commonwealth. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ST Bancorp and First Commonwealth.

Diversification Opportunities for ST Bancorp and First Commonwealth

0.97
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between STBA and First is 0.97. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ST Bancorp and First Commonwealth Financial in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Commonwealth and ST Bancorp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ST Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with First Commonwealth. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Commonwealth has no effect on the direction of ST Bancorp i.e., ST Bancorp and First Commonwealth go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ST Bancorp and First Commonwealth

Given the investment horizon of 90 days ST Bancorp is expected to generate 2.1 times less return on investment than First Commonwealth. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, ST Bancorp is 1.03 times less risky than First Commonwealth. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. First Commonwealth Financial is currently generating about 0.08 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,518  in First Commonwealth Financial on April 27, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  109.00  from holding First Commonwealth Financial or generate 7.18% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

ST Bancorp  vs.  First Commonwealth Financial

 Performance 
       Timeline  
ST Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Insignificant

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ST Bancorp are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat strong fundamental drivers, ST Bancorp is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
First Commonwealth 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Modest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Commonwealth Financial are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unsteady fundamental indicators, First Commonwealth may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in August 2025.

ST Bancorp and First Commonwealth Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with ST Bancorp and First Commonwealth

The main advantage of trading using opposite ST Bancorp and First Commonwealth positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ST Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, First Commonwealth can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Commonwealth will offset losses from the drop in First Commonwealth's long position.
The idea behind ST Bancorp and First Commonwealth Financial pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

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