Correlation Between Microsoft and Vanguard Target

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Microsoft and Vanguard Target at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Microsoft and Vanguard Target into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Microsoft and Vanguard Target Retirement, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Microsoft and Vanguard Target and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Microsoft with a short position of Vanguard Target. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Microsoft and Vanguard Target.

Diversification Opportunities for Microsoft and Vanguard Target

0.97
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Microsoft and Vanguard is 0.97. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Microsoft and Vanguard Target Retirement in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vanguard Target Reti and Microsoft is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Microsoft are associated (or correlated) with Vanguard Target. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vanguard Target Reti has no effect on the direction of Microsoft i.e., Microsoft and Vanguard Target go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Microsoft and Vanguard Target

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Microsoft is expected to generate 1.66 times more return on investment than Vanguard Target. However, Microsoft is 1.66 times more volatile than Vanguard Target Retirement. It trades about 0.37 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Vanguard Target Retirement is currently generating about 0.25 per unit of risk. If you would invest  43,537  in Microsoft on May 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  9,813  from holding Microsoft or generate 22.54% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Microsoft  vs.  Vanguard Target Retirement

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Microsoft 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Strong

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Microsoft are ranked lower than 29 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively weak technical and fundamental indicators, Microsoft unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Vanguard Target Reti 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Target Retirement are ranked lower than 19 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Vanguard Target may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in September 2025.

Microsoft and Vanguard Target Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Microsoft and Vanguard Target

The main advantage of trading using opposite Microsoft and Vanguard Target positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Microsoft position performs unexpectedly, Vanguard Target can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vanguard Target will offset losses from the drop in Vanguard Target's long position.
The idea behind Microsoft and Vanguard Target Retirement pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.

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