Correlation Between Chemung Financial and Oak Valley

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Chemung Financial and Oak Valley at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Chemung Financial and Oak Valley into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Chemung Financial Corp and Oak Valley Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Chemung Financial and Oak Valley and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Chemung Financial with a short position of Oak Valley. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Chemung Financial and Oak Valley.

Diversification Opportunities for Chemung Financial and Oak Valley

0.7
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Chemung and Oak is 0.7. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Chemung Financial Corp and Oak Valley Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Oak Valley Bancorp and Chemung Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Chemung Financial Corp are associated (or correlated) with Oak Valley. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Oak Valley Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Chemung Financial i.e., Chemung Financial and Oak Valley go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Chemung Financial and Oak Valley

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Chemung Financial Corp is expected to generate 0.65 times more return on investment than Oak Valley. However, Chemung Financial Corp is 1.53 times less risky than Oak Valley. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Oak Valley Bancorp is currently generating about 0.02 per unit of risk. If you would invest  3,854  in Chemung Financial Corp on June 26, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,019  from holding Chemung Financial Corp or generate 26.44% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy99.6%
ValuesDaily Returns

Chemung Financial Corp  vs.  Oak Valley Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Chemung Financial Corp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Chemung Financial Corp are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unsteady primary indicators, Chemung Financial may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in October 2024.
Oak Valley Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Oak Valley Bancorp are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly conflicting essential indicators, Oak Valley showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Chemung Financial and Oak Valley Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Chemung Financial and Oak Valley

The main advantage of trading using opposite Chemung Financial and Oak Valley positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Chemung Financial position performs unexpectedly, Oak Valley can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Oak Valley will offset losses from the drop in Oak Valley's long position.
The idea behind Chemung Financial Corp and Oak Valley Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.

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