Correlation Between Air Transport and United Airlines

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Air Transport and United Airlines at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Air Transport and United Airlines into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Air Transport Services and United Airlines Holdings, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Air Transport and United Airlines and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Air Transport with a short position of United Airlines. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Air Transport and United Airlines.

Diversification Opportunities for Air Transport and United Airlines

0.3
  Correlation Coefficient

Weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Air and United is 0.3. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Air Transport Services and United Airlines Holdings in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on United Airlines Holdings and Air Transport is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Air Transport Services are associated (or correlated) with United Airlines. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of United Airlines Holdings has no effect on the direction of Air Transport i.e., Air Transport and United Airlines go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Air Transport and United Airlines

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Air Transport Services is expected to under-perform the United Airlines. In addition to that, Air Transport is 1.2 times more volatile than United Airlines Holdings. It trades about -0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. United Airlines Holdings is currently generating about 0.06 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  4,308  in United Airlines Holdings on July 21, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3,107  from holding United Airlines Holdings or generate 72.12% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Air Transport Services  vs.  United Airlines Holdings

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Air Transport Services 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Air Transport Services are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly weak basic indicators, Air Transport may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in November 2024.
United Airlines Holdings 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

17 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in United Airlines Holdings are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite conflicting basic indicators, United Airlines disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Air Transport and United Airlines Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Air Transport and United Airlines

The main advantage of trading using opposite Air Transport and United Airlines positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Air Transport position performs unexpectedly, United Airlines can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in United Airlines will offset losses from the drop in United Airlines' long position.
The idea behind Air Transport Services and United Airlines Holdings pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

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