Correlation Between Arrow Financial and Independent Bank

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Arrow Financial and Independent Bank at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Arrow Financial and Independent Bank into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Arrow Financial and Independent Bank, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Arrow Financial and Independent Bank and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Arrow Financial with a short position of Independent Bank. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Arrow Financial and Independent Bank.

Diversification Opportunities for Arrow Financial and Independent Bank

0.93
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Arrow and Independent is 0.93. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Arrow Financial and Independent Bank in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Independent Bank and Arrow Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Arrow Financial are associated (or correlated) with Independent Bank. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Independent Bank has no effect on the direction of Arrow Financial i.e., Arrow Financial and Independent Bank go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Arrow Financial and Independent Bank

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Arrow Financial is expected to generate 0.86 times more return on investment than Independent Bank. However, Arrow Financial is 1.17 times less risky than Independent Bank. It trades about 0.0 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Independent Bank is currently generating about -0.02 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,577  in Arrow Financial on February 3, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (42.00) from holding Arrow Financial or give up 1.63% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Arrow Financial  vs.  Independent Bank

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Arrow Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Arrow Financial has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly stable basic indicators, Arrow Financial is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price fuss, may contribute to near-short-term losses for the sophisticated investors.
Independent Bank 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Independent Bank has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong fundamental indicators, Independent Bank is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Arrow Financial and Independent Bank Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Arrow Financial and Independent Bank

The main advantage of trading using opposite Arrow Financial and Independent Bank positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Arrow Financial position performs unexpectedly, Independent Bank can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Independent Bank will offset losses from the drop in Independent Bank's long position.
The idea behind Arrow Financial and Independent Bank pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

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