Dollar Tree Stock Alpha and Beta Analysis

DLTR Stock  USD 114.72  1.17  1.03%   
This module allows you to check different measures of market premium (i.e., alpha and beta) for all equities such as Dollar Tree. It also helps investors analyze the systematic and unsystematic risks associated with investing in Dollar Tree over a specified time horizon. Remember, high Dollar Tree's alpha is almost always a sign of good performance; however, a high beta will depend on investors' risk tolerance level and may signal increased volatility and potential future overvaluation. Key technical indicators related to Dollar Tree's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta
0.84
Alpha
0.46
Risk
2.32
Sharpe Ratio
0.23
Expected Return
0.52
Please note that although Dollar Tree alpha is a measure of relative return and represented here as a single number, it indicates the percentage above or below your selected benchmark (i.e., Dow Jones Industrial index.) So in this particular case, Dollar Tree did 0.46  better than the index. Remember, a high alpha is always good. Beta, on the other hand, measures the volatility (or risk) of an investment. It is an indication of Dollar Tree stock's relative risk over its benchmark. Dollar Tree has a beta of 0.84  . As returns on the market increase, Dollar Tree's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Dollar Tree is expected to be smaller as well. As of 08/02/2025, Enterprise Value is likely to grow to about 3.1 B, while Book Value Per Share is likely to drop 2.53.

Enterprise Value

3.08 Billion

Alpha is a measure of relative performance on a risk-adjusted basis, while beta measures volatility against the benchmark. The goal is to know if an investor is being compensated for the volatility risk taken. The return on investment might be better than its reference but still not compensate for the assumption of the risk.
Check out Dollar Tree Backtesting, Dollar Tree Valuation, Dollar Tree Correlation, Dollar Tree Hype Analysis, Dollar Tree Volatility, Dollar Tree History and analyze Dollar Tree Performance.
To learn how to invest in Dollar Stock, please use our How to Invest in Dollar Tree guide.

Dollar Tree Market Premiums

Investors always prefer to have the highest possible return on investment, coupled with the lowest possible volatility. Dollar Tree market risk premium is the additional return an investor will receive from holding Dollar Tree long position in a well-diversified portfolio. The market premium is part of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which most analysts and investors use to calculate the acceptable rate of return on investment in Dollar Tree. At the center of the CAPM is the concept of risk and reward, which is usually communicated by investors using alpha and beta measures. Alpha and beta are two of the key measurements used to evaluate Dollar Tree's performance over market.
α0.46   β0.84

Dollar Tree expected buy-and-hold returns

Although buy-and-hold investment strategy may not appeal to all investors, it may be used as a good measure of Dollar Tree's Buy-and-hold return. Our buy-and-hold chart shows how Dollar Tree performed over your current time horizon against a typical interest-earning bank account and a selected benchmark.

Dollar Tree Market Price Analysis

Market price analysis indicators help investors to evaluate how Dollar Tree stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dollar Tree shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Dollar Tree stock market price indicators, traders can identify Dollar Tree position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Dollar Tree Return and Market Media

The median price of Dollar Tree for the period between Sun, May 4, 2025 and Sat, Aug 2, 2025 is 97.53 with a coefficient of variation of 10.68. The daily time series for the period is distributed with a sample standard deviation of 10.42, arithmetic mean of 97.59, and mean deviation of 8.79. The Stock received substential amount of media coverage during this period.
 Price Growth (%)  
       Timeline  
1
Americans are looking to stock up on gas masks, emergency meal kits, and power banks as anxiety builds
06/26/2025
2
Disposition of 189 shares by Steve Schumacher of Dollar Tree at 101.91 subject to Rule 16b-3
07/03/2025
3
WhiteHawk Capital Provides Loan to Support Acquisition of Family Dollar
07/07/2025
4
Returns At Dollar Tree Are On The Way Up
07/14/2025
5
Barclays Upgrades Dollar Tree with Increased Price Target DLTR Stock News
07/21/2025
6
Poplar Forest Capital LLC Cuts Holdings in Dollar Tree, Inc.
07/23/2025
7
Dollar Tree, Inc. People Huddled Around It Are Mistaken, Says Jim Cramer
07/24/2025
8
Insider Trading
07/28/2025
9
Dollar Tree Rose Following the Divestiture
07/30/2025
10
25,929 Shares in Dollar Tree, Inc. Purchased by XTX Topco Ltd
07/31/2025

About Dollar Tree Beta and Alpha

For many years both, Alpha and Beta indicators are used by professional money managers as critical performance measurement tools across virtually all financial instruments including Dollar or other stocks. Alpha measures the amount that position in Dollar Tree has returned in comparison to a selected market index or another relevant benchmark. In other words, Alpha is the excess return on an investment relative to the performance of your selected benchmark. Beta, on the other hand, measures the relative risk of your investment.
 2010 2025 (projected)
Dividend Yield4.4E-43.52E-4
Price To Sales Ratio1.411.19

Dollar Tree Upcoming Company Events

As portrayed in its financial statements, the presentation of Dollar Tree's financial position is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Dollar Tree's leadership is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, investors should always follow all of Dollar Tree's public filing events to personally review all filings and be reasonable and skeptical to interpret all of the financial statements of Dollar Tree. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Dollar Tree's management manipulating its earnings.
6th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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23rd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of January 2024
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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6th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
31st of October 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of January 2023
Last Financial Announcement
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Additional Tools for Dollar Stock Analysis

When running Dollar Tree's price analysis, check to measure Dollar Tree's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dollar Tree is operating at the current time. Most of Dollar Tree's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dollar Tree's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dollar Tree's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dollar Tree to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.