United Guardian Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

UG Stock  USD 12.27  0.28  2.23%   
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding United Guardian is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides United Guardian buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding UG positions.
  
Check out United Guardian Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in United Stock please use our How to Invest in United Guardian guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as United and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. United Guardian. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Execute United Guardian Buy or Sell Advice

The United recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on United Guardian. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in United Guardian or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute United Guardian's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell United GuardianBuy United Guardian
Strong Sell

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong SellDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon United Guardian has a Mean Deviation of 2.62, Semi Deviation of 3.45, Standard Deviation of 3.54, Variance of 12.54, Downside Variance of 13.28 and Semi Variance of 11.87
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on United Guardian and to analyze the firm potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure United Guardian is not overpriced, please validate all United Guardian fundamentals, including its current ratio, working capital, and the relationship between the net income and number of employees . Given that United Guardian has a price to earning of 15.40 X, we advise you to double-check United Guardian market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

United Guardian Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

United Guardian had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 36.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

United Guardian Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of United Guardian's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of United Guardian's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of United Guardian daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use United Guardian price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of United Guardian returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for United Guardian.
Mean Return
0.19
Value At Risk
-5.42
Potential Upside
5.03
Standard Deviation
3.54
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of United Guardian historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

United Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
26.2 K
First Manhattan Co. Llc2024-06-30
17.1 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-06-30
15.5 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
13.5 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
11.7 K
Hightower Advisors, Llc2024-06-30
11 K
Northstar Group Inc2024-09-30
10.6 K
Essex Investment Management Company, Llc2024-09-30
7.9 K
Wells Fargo & Co2024-06-30
4.5 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-06-30
187.6 K
Gamco Investors, Inc. Et Al2024-06-30
159.5 K
Note, although United Guardian's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

United Guardian Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Depreciation175.8K165.3K146.0K135.4K105.7K178.0K
Other Non Cash Items(411.8K)(305.7K)14.5K1.1M(160.3K)(152.3K)
Capital Expenditures113.8K43.4K116.4K75.2K165.7K168.9K
Net Income4.8M3.3M4.7M2.6M2.6M2.6M
End Period Cash Flow1.0M591.4K531.2K830.5K8.2M8.7M
Change To Inventory249.9K(198.5K)5.0K(290.2K)465.5K488.8K
Change In Cash498.2K(456.9K)(60.2K)299.2K7.4M7.8M
Free Cash Flow4.4M3.6M5.2M2.4M3.0M3.1M
Dividends Paid5.0M3.6M5.2M3.1M459.4K436.4K
Investments1.2M(468.7K)(67.1K)897.6K5.9M6.2M
Change Receivables(311.7K)237.2K(430.1K)717.9K825.6K866.8K
Change To Netincome(293.5K)(540.9K)(54.0K)883.7K1.0M1.1M

United Guardian Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to United Guardian or Personal Care Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that United Guardian's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a United stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.15
σ
Overall volatility
3.51
Ir
Information ratio 0

United Guardian Volatility Alert

United Guardian shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure United Guardian's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact United Guardian's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

United Guardian Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing United Guardian's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze United Guardian's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between United Guardian and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as United Guardian or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of United Guardian's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing United Guardian by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare United Guardian to competition
FundamentalsUnited GuardianPeer Average
Return On Equity0.29-0.31
Return On Asset0.18-0.14
Profit Margin0.26 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.33 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation46.51 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding4.59 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders36.38 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions23.64 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted12.58 K4.71 M
Price To Earning15.40 X28.72 X
Price To Book4.76 X9.51 X
Price To Sales4.58 X11.42 X
Revenue10.89 M9.43 B
Gross Profit6.7 M27.38 B
EBITDA2.97 M3.9 B
Net Income2.58 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents6.77 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.47 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.97 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.08 %48.70 %
Current Ratio5.59 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.64 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations3.14 M971.22 M
Short Ratio0.54 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.71 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees2318.84 K
Beta0.81-0.15
Market Capitalization56.37 M19.03 B
Total Asset13.36 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings10.93 M9.33 B
Working Capital10.72 M1.48 B
Current Asset14.52 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities988.37 K7.9 B
Note: Disposition of 100 shares by Parker Betsee of United Guardian at 18.28 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

United Guardian Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as United . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About United Guardian Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell United Guardian? Buying financial instruments such as United Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having United Guardian in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Realty Funds Thematic Idea Now

Realty Funds
Realty Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs investing in real estate backed instruments or issues backed by different types of commercial properties. The Realty Funds theme has 47 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Realty Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out United Guardian Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in United Stock please use our How to Invest in United Guardian guide.
You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Is Personal Care Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of United Guardian. If investors know United will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about United Guardian listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.074
Dividend Share
0.6
Earnings Share
0.71
Revenue Per Share
2.679
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.279
The market value of United Guardian is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of United that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of United Guardian's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is United Guardian's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because United Guardian's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect United Guardian's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between United Guardian's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if United Guardian is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, United Guardian's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.