Pbf Energy Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

PBF Stock  USD 15.41  0.47  3.15%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding PBF Energy is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides PBF Energy buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding PBF positions.
  
Check out PBF Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in PBF Stock please use our How to Invest in PBF Energy guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as PBF and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. PBF Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.

Execute PBF Energy Buy or Sell Advice

The PBF recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on PBF Energy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in PBF Energy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute PBF Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell PBF EnergyBuy PBF Energy
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ExcitedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon PBF Energy has a Mean Deviation of 3.27, Standard Deviation of 4.65 and Variance of 21.6
Our trade recommendations tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on PBF Energy and to analyze the company potential to grow for few more years. To make sure PBF Energy is not overpriced, please check all PBF Energy fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, revenue, total debt, as well as the relationship between the price to earning and net income . Given that PBF Energy has a price to earning of 20.36 X, we recommend you to check out PBF Energy market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself for few more years given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

PBF Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

PBF Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
PBF Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the last year's revenue of 33.12 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (540.2 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 366.9 M.
Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 14th of March 2025 PBF Energy paid $ 0.275 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: PBF Energy Inc. Among Stocks Insiders Bought in April After Trumps Tariff Rollout

PBF Energy Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of PBF Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of PBF Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of PBF Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use PBF Energy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of PBF Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for PBF Energy.
Mean Return
-0.71
Value At Risk
-9.01
Potential Upside
5.44
Standard Deviation
4.65
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of PBF Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

PBF Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
1.5 M
Jpmorgan Chase & Co
1.5 M
Two Sigma Advisers, Llc2024-12-31
1.4 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
1.4 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
1.2 M
Hara Capital Llc2024-12-31
1.1 M
Private Management Group Inc2024-12-31
1.1 M
Point72 Asset Management, L.p.2024-12-31
M
Amvescap Plc.2024-12-31
M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
13.2 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
10 M
Note, although PBF Energy's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

PBF Energy Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory392.2M(149.3M)(258.5M)(409M)587.9M617.3M
Change In Cash794.6M(268M)862.1M(420.1M)(1.2B)(1.2B)
Free Cash Flow(827.8M)228.2M4.1B678.9M43.4M41.2M
Depreciation581.1M483.8M533.9M591.6M643M334.2M
Other Non Cash Items(127.6M)(686.2M)159.5M(852.9M)60.3M63.3M
Dividends Paid82.2M39.7M73.6M(105.8M)(120.6M)(114.6M)
Capital Expenditures196.2M249.1M633.3M659.6M390.9M398.4M
Net Income(1.3B)315.5M3.0B2.1B(540.2M)(513.2M)
End Period Cash Flow1.6B1.3B2.2B1.8B536.1M834.3M
Change Receivables(116.1M)322.1M(764.7M)(178.8M)(160.9M)(152.9M)
Net Borrowings(7M)2.7B154.2M1.3B1.5B1.6B
Change To Netincome155.1M(381.2M)(220.5M)637.4M573.7M602.3M
Investments12.6M(388.5M)25M(433M)(1.0B)(989.4M)

PBF Energy Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to PBF Energy or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that PBF Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a PBF stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.57
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.83
σ
Overall volatility
4.66
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

PBF Energy Volatility Alert

PBF Energy exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.09 and kurtosis of 2.23. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure PBF Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact PBF Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

PBF Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing PBF Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze PBF Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between PBF Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as PBF Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of PBF Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PBF Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare PBF Energy to competition
FundamentalsPBF EnergyPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0878-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0239-0.14
Profit Margin(0.02) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.03) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.51 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding115.65 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders28.17 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions76.76 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted15.49 M4.71 M
Price To Earning20.36 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.31 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.05 X11.42 X
Revenue33.12 B9.43 B
Gross Profit366.9 M27.38 B
EBITDA(2.4 M)3.9 B
Net Income(540.2 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents2.2 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share17.83 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.3 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.05 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.08 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share48.08 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations43.4 M971.22 M
Short Ratio5.07 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(4.60) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.51 X4.89 X
Target Price21.0
Number Of Employees3.85 K18.84 K
Beta1.15-0.15
Market Capitalization1.78 B19.03 B
Total Asset12.7 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings3.44 B9.33 B
Working Capital917.8 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Control Empresarial De Capitales S.a. De C.v. of 2000 shares of PBF Energy at 14.5 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

PBF Energy Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as PBF . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About PBF Energy Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell PBF Energy? Buying financial instruments such as PBF Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having PBF Energy in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Wholesale Thematic Idea Now

Wholesale
Wholesale Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Wholesale theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Wholesale Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
When determining whether PBF Energy is a strong investment it is important to analyze PBF Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact PBF Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding PBF Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out PBF Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in PBF Stock please use our How to Invest in PBF Energy guide.
You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Is Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PBF Energy. If investors know PBF will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about PBF Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.70)
Dividend Share
1.025
Earnings Share
(4.60)
Revenue Per Share
284.866
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.20)
The market value of PBF Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PBF that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PBF Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PBF Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because PBF Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PBF Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between PBF Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PBF Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PBF Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.