Mdu Resources Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| MDU Stock | USD 18.34 0.45 2.52% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your conservative risk appetite, our recommendation regarding MDU Resources Group is 'Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell MDU Resources Group given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards MDU Resources. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for MDU Resources Group, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out MDU Resources Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as MDU and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. MDU Resources Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.
MDU |
Execute MDU Resources Buy or Sell Advice
The MDU recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on MDU Resources Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in MDU Resources Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute MDU Resources' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Buy
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Excited | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
MDU Resources Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 1st of October 2024 MDU Resources paid $ 0.13 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Insider Trading |
MDU Resources Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of MDU Resources' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of MDU Resources' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of MDU Resources daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use MDU Resources Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of MDU Resources returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for MDU Resources.
| Mean Return | 0.51 | Value At Risk | -2.69 | Potential Upside | 3.97 | Standard Deviation | 2.14 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of MDU Resources historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
MDU Stock Institutional Investors
The MDU Resources' institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase MDU Resources' securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | First Trust Advisors L.p. | 2024-06-30 | 3 M | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 2.4 M | Macquarie Group Ltd | 2024-06-30 | 2.2 M | Frontier Capital Management Co Inc | 2024-06-30 | 2.1 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-06-30 | 2 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 2 M | Allspring Global Investments Holdings, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 1.7 M | Aqr Capital Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 1.7 M | U.s. Bancorp | 2024-06-30 | 1.7 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-06-30 | 20.5 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 18.6 M |
MDU Resources Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 9.3M | (7.2M) | (42.3M) | (46.6M) | (27.6M) | (26.2M) | |
| Change In Cash | 12.5M | (6.9M) | (5.4M) | 26.3M | (3.5M) | (3.4M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (33.8M) | 210.4M | (163.6M) | (146.6M) | (187.1M) | (177.7M) | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 195.7M | 296.0M | (54.5M) | (12.7M) | (287.5M) | (273.2M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 160.3M | 166.4M | 171.4M | 176.9M | (161.3M) | (153.3M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 576.1M | 558.0M | 659.4M | 656.6M | 519.7M | 508.5M | |
| Net Income | 335.2M | 390.5M | 377.7M | 367.3M | 414.7M | 223.8M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 66.5M | 59.6M | 54.2M | 80.5M | 77.0M | 81.7M | |
| Investments | (2.0M) | (1.8M) | (885.9M) | (638.9M) | (589.2M) | (559.8M) | |
| Change Receivables | (104.4M) | 7.8M | (60.0M) | (363.3M) | (327.0M) | (310.6M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 130.5M | 18.3M | 478.1M | 344.5M | 396.2M | 416.0M | |
| Depreciation | 256.0M | 285.1M | 274.3M | 327.8M | 213.6M | 189.6M | |
| Change To Netincome | 63.9M | (3.2M) | (181.5M) | 31.4M | 28.3M | 26.9M |
MDU Resources Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to MDU Resources or Multi-Utilities sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that MDU Resources' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a MDU stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.19 |
MDU Resources Volatility Alert
MDU Resources Group has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.48 and kurtosis of 1.69. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure MDU Resources' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact MDU Resources' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.MDU Resources Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing MDU Resources' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze MDU Resources' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between MDU Resources and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as MDU Resources or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of MDU Resources' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MDU Resources by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare MDU Resources to competition |
| Fundamentals | MDU Resources | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.14 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.036 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.09 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.09 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 6.09 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 203.89 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.63 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 76.72 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 5.6 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 16.15 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.19 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.84 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 4.66 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.15 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 867.71 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 414.71 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 80.52 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.32 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.47 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.93 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.35 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 15.00 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 332.63 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.55 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.99 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.93 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 19.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 9.14 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.67 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 3.74 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 7.83 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.25 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 287.99 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Insider Trading [view details]
MDU Resources Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as MDU . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 45178.04 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.9375 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | |||
| Day Median Price | 18.12 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 18.19 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.45 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.45 |
About MDU Resources Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell MDU Resources Group? Buying financial instruments such as MDU Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for MDU Stock Analysis
When running MDU Resources' price analysis, check to measure MDU Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MDU Resources is operating at the current time. Most of MDU Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MDU Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MDU Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MDU Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.