Moelis Co Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MC Stock  USD 65.74  1.19  1.78%   
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Moelis Co is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Moelis buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Moelis positions.
  
Check out Moelis Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Moelis and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Moelis Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.

Execute Moelis Buy or Sell Advice

The Moelis recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Moelis Co. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Moelis Co or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Moelis' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell MoelisBuy Moelis
Strong Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Moelis Co has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0445, Jensen Alpha of (0.01), Total Risk Alpha of (0.05), Sortino Ratio of 0.0163 and Treynor Ratio of 0.0477
Macroaxis provides unbiased advice on Moelis that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Moelis. Our investment recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Moelis is not overpriced, please verify all Moelis Co fundamentals, including its net income, short ratio, and the relationship between the price to sales and debt to equity . Given that Moelis has a price to earning of 11.64 X, we recommend you to check Moelis market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Moelis Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company generated the yearly revenue of 854.75 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (24.7 M) with gross profit of 913.57 M.
Moelis has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 26th of September 2024 Moelis paid $ 0.6 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from bnnbloomberg.ca: Top Gulf Grocer Lulu Seeks Up to 1.43 Billion in Abu Dhabi IPO

Moelis Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Moelis' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Moelis' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Moelis daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Moelis Co price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Moelis returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Moelis.
Mean Return
0.09
Value At Risk
-3.05
Potential Upside
3.37
Standard Deviation
1.83
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Moelis historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Moelis Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
1.6 M
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-06-30
1.5 M
Alliancebernstein L.p.2024-06-30
1.4 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
1.3 M
Lord, Abbett & Co Llc2024-06-30
1.1 M
Wells Fargo & Co2024-06-30
1.1 M
Artisan Partners Limited Partnership2024-06-30
1.1 M
Hightower Advisors, Llc2024-06-30
M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-06-30
906.1 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-06-30
8.2 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
8.1 M
Note, although Moelis' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Moelis Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(33.9M)57.3M264.8M16.3M18.8M35.0M
Change In Cash(93.2M)34.7M317.7M(313.5M)(20.3M)(19.3M)
Free Cash Flow202.8M388.6M920.6M27.0M141.8M259.3M
Depreciation5.0M4.7M7.2M8.0M8.3M4.8M
Other Non Cash Items(22.8M)2.0M(31.0M)14.8M(10.0M)(10.5M)
Dividends Paid209.2M282.9M480.0M174.7M182.2M243.0M
Capital Expenditures6.5M40.7M16.4M6.0M16.7M9.9M
Net Income135.7M218.4M423.0M168.7M(24.7M)(23.5M)
End Period Cash Flow168.6M203.3M521.0M207.5M187.2M265.4M
Investments(45.4M)708K(658K)(2.2M)48.6M51.0M
Change Receivables7.1M(46.7M)26.9M(20.3M)(18.3M)(17.4M)
Change To Netincome105.1M174.6M189.9M173.4M199.4M156.5M

Moelis Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Moelis or Capital Markets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Moelis' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Moelis stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.74
σ
Overall volatility
1.76
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Moelis Volatility Alert

Moelis Co has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.21 and kurtosis of -0.15. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Moelis' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Moelis' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Moelis Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Moelis' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Moelis' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Moelis and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Moelis or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Moelis' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Moelis by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Moelis to competition
FundamentalsMoelisPeer Average
Return On Equity0.12-0.31
Return On Asset0.0398-0.14
Profit Margin0.04 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.06 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.79 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding70.59 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.39 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions99.61 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted3.47 M4.71 M
Price To Earning11.64 X28.72 X
Price To Book12.85 X9.51 X
Price To Sales4.87 X11.42 X
Revenue854.75 M9.43 B
Gross Profit913.57 M27.38 B
EBITDA(32.03 M)3.9 B
Net Income(24.7 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents206.79 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.17 X5.01 X
Total Debt215.68 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.44 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.38 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share5.21 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations158.47 M971.22 M
Short Ratio5.05 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.53 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.97 X4.89 X
Target Price64.29
Number Of Employees1.16 K18.84 K
Beta1.34-0.15
Market Capitalization4.72 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.18 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(767.59 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(350.76 M)1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 310 shares by Eric Cantor of Moelis at 53.99 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Moelis Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Moelis . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Moelis Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Moelis Co? Buying financial instruments such as Moelis Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Moelis in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Business Supplies Thematic Idea Now

Business Supplies
Business Supplies Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Business Supplies theme has 24 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Business Supplies Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Moelis Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Is Investment Banking & Brokerage space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Moelis. If investors know Moelis will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Moelis listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.276
Dividend Share
2.4
Earnings Share
0.53
Revenue Per Share
13.755
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.006
The market value of Moelis is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Moelis that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Moelis' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Moelis' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Moelis' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Moelis' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Moelis' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Moelis is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Moelis' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.