Luminar Technologies Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

LAZR Stock  USD 5.18  0.14  2.78%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Luminar Technologies is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell Luminar Technologies within the specified time frame.
  
Check out Luminar Technologies Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Luminar Stock, please use our How to Invest in Luminar Technologies guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Luminar and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Luminar Technologies. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Luminar Technologies Buy or Sell Advice

The Luminar recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Luminar Technologies. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Luminar Technologies or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Luminar Technologies' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Luminar TechnologiesBuy Luminar Technologies
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Relatively riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Luminar Technologies has a Mean Deviation of 4.98, Standard Deviation of 6.56 and Variance of 43.0
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on Luminar Technologies. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Luminar Technologies is not overpriced, please verify all Luminar Technologies fundamentals, including its current ratio, and the relationship between the gross profit and target price . Given that Luminar Technologies has a number of shares shorted of 7.4 M, we recommend you to check Luminar Technologies market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Luminar Technologies Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Luminar Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Luminar Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Luminar Technologies has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 69.78 M. Net Loss for the year was (571.27 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (60.28 M).
Luminar Technologies currently holds about 553.05 M in cash with (247.3 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.52.
Luminar Technologies has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Luminar Technologies, Inc. Shares Bought by LRI Investments LLC

Luminar Technologies Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Luminar Technologies' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Luminar Technologies' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Luminar Technologies daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Luminar Technologies price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Luminar Technologies returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Luminar Technologies.
Mean Return
-1.02
Value At Risk
-9.48
Potential Upside
12.23
Standard Deviation
6.56
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Luminar Technologies historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Luminar Stock Institutional Investors

The Luminar Technologies' institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Luminar Technologies' securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Lido Advisors, Llc2024-09-30
1.9 M
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2024-09-30
1.8 M
Mitsubishi Ufj Asset Management Co.,ltd2024-09-30
1.4 M
Hrt Financial Llc2024-09-30
1.2 M
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-09-30
1.2 M
Jane Street Group Llc2024-06-30
1.2 M
Barclays Plc2024-09-30
842.3 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-09-30
821.3 K
North Star Investment Management Corp2024-09-30
758 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
29.1 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
25.2 M
Note, although Luminar Technologies' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Luminar Technologies Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(2.5M)(4.0M)(10.8M)(10.5M)(23.0M)(21.8M)
Change In Cash17.5M182.4M121.0M(259.6M)69.5M73.0M
Free Cash Flow(61.7M)(77.8M)(154.9M)(226.3M)(269.2M)(255.8M)
Depreciation2.3M2.5M4.2M11.8M33.6M35.3M
Other Non Cash Items32.0M277.4M48.9M57.4M94.9M96.7M
Capital Expenditures1.5M2.2M6.4M18.1M21.9M23.0M
Net Income(94.7M)(362.3M)(238.0M)(445.9M)(571.3M)(542.7M)
End Period Cash Flow27.3M209.7M330.7M71.1M140.6M142.9M
Change To Netincome34.7M286.1M125.3M216.8M249.3M149.9M

Luminar Technologies Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Luminar Technologies or Automobile Components sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Luminar Technologies' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Luminar stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.98
σ
Overall volatility
6.28
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Luminar Technologies Volatility Alert

Luminar Technologies is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Luminar Technologies' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Luminar Technologies' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Luminar Technologies Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Luminar Technologies' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Luminar Technologies' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Luminar Technologies and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Luminar Technologies or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Luminar Technologies' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Luminar Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Luminar Technologies to competition
FundamentalsLuminar TechnologiesPeer Average
Return On Equity-24.25-0.31
Return On Asset-0.64-0.14
Operating Margin(6.78) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation557.25 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding26.82 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders3.63 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions35.37 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted7.4 M4.71 M
Price To Book60.04 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.30 X11.42 X
Revenue69.78 M9.43 B
Gross Profit(60.28 M)27.38 B
EBITDA(530.39 M)3.9 B
Net Income(571.27 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents553.05 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.52 X5.01 X
Total Debt660.66 M5.32 B
Current Ratio9.86 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(0.54) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(247.3 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio2.62 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(17.40) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.11 X4.89 X
Target Price30.0
Number Of Employees80018.84 K
Beta1.62-0.15
Market Capitalization172.47 M19.03 B
Total Asset512.37 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(1.84 B)9.33 B
Working Capital266.75 M1.48 B
Net Asset512.37 M
Note: Acquisition by Heng Jun Hong of 31855 shares of Luminar Technologies subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Luminar Technologies Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Luminar . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Luminar Technologies Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Luminar Technologies? Buying financial instruments such as Luminar Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Luminar Stock Analysis

When running Luminar Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Luminar Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Luminar Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Luminar Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Luminar Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Luminar Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Luminar Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.