First Solar Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

FSLR Stock  USD 240.45  1.36  0.56%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding First Solar is 'Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell First Solar given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards First Solar. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for First Solar, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out First Solar Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in First Stock, please use our How to Invest in First Solar guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as First and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. First Solar. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.

Execute First Solar Buy or Sell Advice

The First recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on First Solar. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in First Solar or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute First Solar's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell First SolarBuy First Solar
Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon First Solar has a Mean Deviation of 2.59, Standard Deviation of 3.61 and Variance of 13.01
Macroaxis provides advice on First Solar to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on First Solar. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure First Solar is not overpriced, please confirm all First Solar fundamentals, including its revenue, cash flow from operations, working capital, as well as the relationship between the cash per share and number of employees . Given that First Solar has a price to earning of 35.42 X, we urge you to verify First Solar market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

First Solar Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

First Solar generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
First Solar has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Over 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from zacks.com: First Solar Rises As Market Takes a Dip Key Facts

First Solar Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of First Solar's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of First Solar's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of First Solar daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use First Solar price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of First Solar returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for First Solar.
Mean Return
-0.06
Value At Risk
-5.91
Potential Upside
5.04
Standard Deviation
3.61
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of First Solar historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

First Stock Institutional Investors

The First Solar's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase First Solar's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-06-30
1.4 M
Norges Bank2024-06-30
1.4 M
Amundi2024-06-30
1.3 M
Schroder Investment Management Group2024-06-30
1.3 M
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2024-06-30
1.2 M
Wellington Management Company Llp2024-06-30
1.2 M
Samlyn Capital, Llc2024-06-30
1.1 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-06-30
M
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
950.6 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-06-30
12.5 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
11.3 M
Note, although First Solar's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

First Solar Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(116.1M)(172.9M)182.2M37.6M471.6M495.2M
Free Cash Flow(494.5M)(379.5M)(302.7M)(30.2M)(784.5M)(745.3M)
Other Non Cash Items(119.1M)(97.0M)(225.1M)(366.7M)16.7M14.9M
Capital Expenditures668.7M416.6M540.3M903.6M1.4B1.5B
Net Income(114.9M)398.4M468.7M(44.2M)830.8M872.3M
End Period Cash Flow1.4B1.3B1.5B1.5B2.0B1.1B
Change To Inventory(83.5M)(145.4M)(136.4M)16.7M(205.1M)(194.9M)
Depreciation205.5M232.9M259.9M269.7M308.0M185.7M
Investments309.3M290.9M147.5M(1.2B)(869.7M)(826.2M)
Net Borrowings90.0M(68.7M)56.5M321.5M369.7M388.2M
Change To Netincome(12.9M)120.4M(57.1M)(350.8M)(315.7M)(300.0M)
Change Receivables(202.3M)(73.6M)345.2M(97.0M)(111.5M)(105.9M)

First Solar Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to First Solar or Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that First Solar's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a First stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.2
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.08
σ
Overall volatility
3.72
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

First Solar Volatility Alert

First Solar exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.73 and kurtosis of 4.57. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure First Solar's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact First Solar's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

First Solar Implied Volatility

First Solar's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of First Solar stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if First Solar's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that First Solar stock will not fluctuate a lot when First Solar's options are near their expiration.

First Solar Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing First Solar's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze First Solar's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between First Solar and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as First Solar or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of First Solar's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing First Solar by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare First Solar to competition
FundamentalsFirst SolarPeer Average
Return On Equity0.18-0.31
Return On Asset0.0799-0.14
Profit Margin0.32 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.37 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation24.6 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding107.05 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders5.43 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions89.50 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted4.33 M4.71 M
Price To Earning35.42 X28.72 X
Price To Book3.55 X9.51 X
Price To Sales6.84 X11.42 X
Revenue3.32 B9.43 B
Gross Profit127.66 M27.38 B
EBITDA1.26 B3.9 B
Net Income830.78 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.85 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share17.31 X5.01 X
Total Debt624.39 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.04 %48.70 %
Current Ratio4.21 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share67.78 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations602.26 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.31 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share11.20 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.33 X4.89 X
Target Price293.51
Number Of Employees6.7 K18.84 K
Beta1.44-0.15
Market Capitalization25.74 B19.03 B
Total Asset10.37 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings3.97 B9.33 B
Working Capital3.33 B1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 36966 shares by Ahearn Michael J of First Solar subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

First Solar Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as First . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About First Solar Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell First Solar? Buying financial instruments such as First Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having First Solar in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Corona Opportunity
Corona Opportunity Theme
Firms that are involved in some capacity in making products or providing services to the public to buttle the virus directly or indirectly. This also includes some defencive and contrarian stocks and ETFs that are managing to avoid the big market correction coused by coronavirus. The Corona Opportunity theme has 46 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Corona Opportunity Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for First Stock Analysis

When running First Solar's price analysis, check to measure First Solar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Solar is operating at the current time. Most of First Solar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Solar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Solar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Solar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.