Erasca Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ERAS Stock  USD 3.46  0.07  2.06%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Erasca Inc is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Erasca Inc given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Erasca Inc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.Check out Erasca Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Erasca and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Erasca Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Erasca Buy or Sell Advice

The Erasca recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Erasca Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Erasca Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Erasca's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell ErascaBuy Erasca
Strong Sell

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

RiskyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Very regressive towards the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ExcitedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Erasca Inc has a Mean Deviation of 3.64, Semi Deviation of 2.79, Standard Deviation of 4.83, Variance of 23.34, Downside Variance of 10.83 and Semi Variance of 7.8
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Erasca Inc. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Erasca is not overpriced, please confirm all Erasca Inc fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, book value per share, retained earnings, as well as the relationship between the cash and equivalents and target price . Given that Erasca Inc has a price to book of 2.98 X, we urge you to verify Erasca Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Erasca Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Erasca Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Net Loss for the year was (161.65 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Erasca Inc currently holds about 371.48 M in cash with (109.42 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.04.
Erasca Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 81.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Did Index Inclusion and New RAS Patent Just Shift Erascas Investment Narrative

Erasca Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Erasca's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Erasca's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Erasca daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Erasca Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Erasca returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Erasca.
Mean Return
1.15
Value At Risk
-4.72
Potential Upside
12.29
Standard Deviation
4.83
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Erasca historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Erasca Stock Institutional Investors

The Erasca's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Erasca's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Geode Capital Management, Llc2025-06-30
4.8 M
Affinity Asset Advisors, Llc2025-06-30
4.1 M
State Street Corp2025-06-30
M
Millennium Management Llc2025-06-30
3.8 M
Silverarc Capital Management, Llc2025-06-30
2.6 M
Soleus Capital Management, L.p.2025-06-30
2.2 M
Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd2025-06-30
2.1 M
Woodline Partners Lp2025-06-30
2.1 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2025-06-30
1.8 M
T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc.2025-06-30
20.3 M
Vr Adviser, Llc2025-06-30
17.9 M
Note, although Erasca's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Erasca Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Investments(32.5M)(45.7M)(52.5M)(100.6M)(156.6M)(148.8M)
Change In Cash36.1M295.2M(76.3M)(191.1M)(25.3M)(24.1M)
Free Cash Flow(71.4M)(98.5M)(119.8M)(103.0M)(132.0M)(138.6M)
Depreciation540K829K2.6M3.7M3.8M2.2M
Other Non Cash Items64.3M27.8M101.0M(7.0M)19.7M27.4M
Capital Expenditures38.7M18.9M16.6M1.8M22.6M13.2M
Net Income(101.7M)(122.8M)(242.8M)(125.0M)(161.7M)(169.7M)
End Period Cash Flow65.7M360.9M284.6M93.5M68.1M64.7M

Erasca Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Erasca or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Erasca's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Erasca stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.31
σ
Overall volatility
4.88
Ir
Information ratio 0.22

Erasca Volatility Alert

Erasca Inc shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Erasca's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Erasca's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Erasca Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Erasca's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Erasca's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Erasca and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Erasca or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Erasca's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Erasca by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Erasca to competition
FundamentalsErascaPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.32-0.31
Return On Asset-0.18-0.14
Current Valuation795.44 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding283.71 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders11.67 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions81.00 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted16.37 M4.71 M
Price To Book2.98 X9.51 X
EBITDA(153.28 M)3.9 B
Net Income(161.65 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents371.48 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.04 X5.01 X
Total Debt51.89 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.07 %48.70 %
Current Ratio17.09 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.23 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(109.42 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio10.53 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.43) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.37 X4.89 X
Target Price5.13
Number Of Employees10318.84 K
Beta1.17-0.15
Market Capitalization1.04 B19.03 B
Total Asset502.53 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(767.66 M)9.33 B
Working Capital277.4 M1.48 B
Net Asset502.53 M
Note: Acquisition by Casdin Alexander W. of 120000 shares of Erasca at 1.45 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Erasca Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Erasca . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Erasca Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Erasca Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Erasca Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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In addition to having Erasca in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Broad Commodities ETFs
Broad Commodities ETFs Theme
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Additional Tools for Erasca Stock Analysis

When running Erasca's price analysis, check to measure Erasca's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Erasca is operating at the current time. Most of Erasca's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Erasca's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Erasca's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Erasca to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.