Cogna Educacao Sa Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| COGNY Stock | USD 0.20 0.01 5.26% |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Cogna Educacao SA is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Cogna Educacao SA given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Cogna Educacao SA, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Cogna Educacao Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Cogna and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Cogna Educacao SA. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Cogna |
Execute Cogna Educacao Buy or Sell Advice
The Cogna recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Cogna Educacao SA. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Cogna Educacao SA or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Cogna Educacao's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Out of control | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Quite High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Cogna Educacao Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Cogna Educacao SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cogna Educacao SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Cogna Educacao SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Cogna Educacao SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.78 B. Net Loss for the year was (489.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.87 B. |
Cogna Educacao Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Cogna Educacao's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Cogna Educacao's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Cogna Educacao daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Cogna Educacao SA price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Cogna Educacao returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Cogna Educacao.
| Mean Return | -0.11 | Value At Risk | -11.11 | Potential Upside | 12.50 | Standard Deviation | 6.86 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Cogna Educacao historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Cogna Educacao Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Cogna Educacao or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Cogna Educacao's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Cogna pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Cogna Educacao Volatility Alert
Cogna Educacao SA is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Cogna Educacao SA is a potential penny stock. Although Cogna Educacao may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny pink sheets are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Cogna Educacao SA. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Cogna instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny pink sheets that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.Cogna Educacao Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Cogna Educacao's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Cogna Educacao's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Cogna Educacao and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Cogna Educacao or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Cogna Educacao's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cogna Educacao by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Cogna Educacao to competition |
| Fundamentals | Cogna Educacao | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0338 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0081 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.05) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.07 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.9 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 1.87 B | 571.82 M |
| Price To Book | 0.29 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.15 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 4.78 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 2.87 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.16 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (489.12 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 3.74 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.99 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 4.75 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.70 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.49 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 6.61 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 503.6 M | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.04) X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 9 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.15 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 789.88 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 28.51 B | 29.47 B |
| Annual Yield | 0 % | |
| Five Year Return | 2.45 % | |
| Net Asset | 28.51 B |
Cogna Educacao Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Cogna . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Cogna Educacao Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Cogna Educacao SA? Buying financial instruments such as Cogna Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Cogna Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Cogna Educacao's price analysis, check to measure Cogna Educacao's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cogna Educacao is operating at the current time. Most of Cogna Educacao's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cogna Educacao's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cogna Educacao's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cogna Educacao to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.