Balchem Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BCPC Stock  USD 178.03  0.50  0.28%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Balchem is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Balchem buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Balchem positions.
  
Check out Balchem Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Balchem Stock refer to our How to Trade Balchem Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Balchem and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Balchem. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Execute Balchem Buy or Sell Advice

The Balchem recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Balchem. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Balchem or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Balchem's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell BalchemBuy Balchem
Hold

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Balchem has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0585, Jensen Alpha of (0.01), Total Risk Alpha of (0.07), Sortino Ratio of 0.0072 and Treynor Ratio of 0.0773
Macroaxis provides advice on Balchem to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Balchem. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Balchem is not overpriced, please confirm all Balchem fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, gross profit, debt to equity, as well as the relationship between the price to book and cash and equivalents . Given that Balchem has a price to earning of 42.37 X, we suggest you to validate Balchem market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Balchem Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Balchem has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Balchem Co. Shares Acquired by Victory Capital Management Inc. - MarketBeat

Balchem Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Balchem's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Balchem's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Balchem daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Balchem price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Balchem returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Balchem.
Mean Return
0.11
Value At Risk
-1.99
Potential Upside
2.64
Standard Deviation
1.48
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Balchem historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Balchem Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Clearbridge Advisors, Llc2024-06-30
452.3 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-06-30
451.3 K
Ameriprise Financial Inc2024-06-30
431 K
Schroder Investment Management Group2024-06-30
418.3 K
Norges Bank2024-06-30
387.5 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
371.9 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
362 K
Congress Asset Management Company, Llp2024-09-30
301.4 K
Stephens Inv Mgmt Group Llc2024-09-30
281.5 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
4.9 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
3.9 M
Note, although Balchem's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Balchem Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(11.4M)13.9M(21.0M)(7.8M)10.5M11.1M
Free Cash Flow96.0M116.7M123.1M88.2M145.9M153.2M
Depreciation45.9M51.3M48.9M51.8M54.9M57.7M
Capital Expenditures28.4M33.8M37.4M50.3M37.9M39.8M
Net Income79.7M84.6M96.1M105.4M108.5M114.0M
Change In Cash11.4M18.9M18.7M(36.7M)(2.1M)(2.0M)
Other Non Cash Items(146K)2.4M(257K)1.7M(5.0M)(4.7M)
Dividends Paid15.1M16.7M18.7M20.7M22.9M24.0M
End Period Cash Flow65.7M84.6M103.2M66.6M64.4M46.2M
Change To Netincome2.8M6.1M4.6M5.2M6.0M6.3M
Change Receivables11.6M(3.6M)(20.7M)(3.6M)(3.3M)(3.4M)
Net Borrowings75.0M(85M)(55.2M)299.8M344.7M362.0M
Investments(1M)(850K)(35.3M)(150K)(37.4M)(39.3M)

Balchem Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Balchem or Chemicals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Balchem's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Balchem stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.23
σ
Overall volatility
1.44
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Balchem Volatility Alert

Balchem has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.31 and kurtosis of 0.93. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Balchem's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Balchem's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Balchem Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Balchem's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Balchem's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Balchem and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Balchem or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Balchem's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Balchem by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Balchem to competition
FundamentalsBalchemPeer Average
Return On Equity0.11-0.31
Return On Asset0.0642-0.14
Profit Margin0.13 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.20 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation5.96 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding32.51 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.46 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions90.81 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted442.21 K4.71 M
Price To Earning42.37 X28.72 X
Price To Book4.92 X9.51 X
Price To Sales6.14 X11.42 X
Revenue922.44 M9.43 B
Gross Profit280.45 M27.38 B
EBITDA215.4 M3.9 B
Net Income108.54 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents58.1 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.81 X5.01 X
Total Debt330.33 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.53 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.59 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share36.21 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations183.76 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.46 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share3.74 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth4.79 X4.89 X
Target Price190.33
Number Of Employees1.3 K18.84 K
Beta0.65-0.15
Market Capitalization5.79 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.6 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings897.49 M9.33 B
Working Capital165.75 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 00 shares by Backus William A. of Balchem at 84.09 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Balchem Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Balchem . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Balchem Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Balchem? Buying financial instruments such as Balchem Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Balchem in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Candy and Soda Thematic Idea Now

Candy and Soda
Candy and Soda Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Candy and Soda theme has 13 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Candy and Soda Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Balchem offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Balchem's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Balchem Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Balchem Stock:
Check out Balchem Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Balchem Stock refer to our How to Trade Balchem Stock guide.
You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Specialty Chemicals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Balchem. If investors know Balchem will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Balchem listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.144
Dividend Share
0.79
Earnings Share
3.74
Revenue Per Share
29.208
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.043
The market value of Balchem is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Balchem that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Balchem's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Balchem's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Balchem's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Balchem's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Balchem's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Balchem is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Balchem's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.