Axos Financial Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AX Stock  USD 81.80  1.79  2.14%   
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Axos Financial is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Axos Financial given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Axos Financial. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Axos Financial, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Axos Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Axos Stock please use our How to Invest in Axos Financial guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Axos and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Axos Financial. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in interest.

Execute Axos Financial Buy or Sell Advice

The Axos recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Axos Financial. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Axos Financial or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Axos Financial's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Axos FinancialBuy Axos Financial
Strong Hold

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Axos Financial has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.121, Jensen Alpha of 0.0152, Total Risk Alpha of (0.21), Sortino Ratio of 0.1674 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1641
Macroaxis provides advice on Axos Financial to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Axos Financial. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Axos Financial is not overpriced, please confirm all Axos Financial fundamentals, including its price to book, book value per share, retained earnings, as well as the relationship between the net income and target price . Given that Axos Financial has a number of shares shorted of 5.24 M, we suggest you to validate Axos Financial market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Axos Financial Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Axos Financial had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Over 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Axos Financial Inc Shares Up 3.45 percent on Nov 11

Axos Financial Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Axos Financial's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Axos Financial's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Axos Financial daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Axos Financial price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Axos Financial returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Axos Financial.
Mean Return
0.49
Value At Risk
-2.77
Potential Upside
4.23
Standard Deviation
3.35
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Axos Financial historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Axos Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Axos Financial, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Axos Financial back and forth among themselves.
Shares
Fmr Inc2024-06-30
827.1 K
Wellington Management Company Llp2024-06-30
805.8 K
Geneva Capital Management2024-09-30
708.5 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-06-30
702.8 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-06-30
681.4 K
Jarislowsky Fraser Ltd2024-06-30
634 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
626.4 K
Ameriprise Financial Inc2024-06-30
543.7 K
Emerald Advisers, Llc2024-09-30
505.5 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
8.2 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-06-30
5.6 M
Note, although Axos Financial's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Axos Financial Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash1.1B(912.7M)536.9M807.4M(196.3M)(186.5M)
Free Cash Flow254.3M402.1M184.5M157.7M289.6M304.1M
Depreciation18.1M34.7M35.5M23.4M27.1M28.4M
Other Non Cash Items(2.3M)43.8M31.0M5.3M(26.6M)(25.2M)
Capital Expenditures12.3M10.4M21.5M30.2M36.0M37.8M
Net Income183.4M215.7M240.7M307.2M450.0M472.5M
End Period Cash Flow2.0B1.0B1.6B2.4B2.2B2.3B
Change To Inventory(9.3B)(19.9M)11.7M465.8M419.2M440.2M
Dividends Paid386K103K0.0108.7M125.0M131.3M
Investments5.1B(47.7M)(2.8B)(2.4B)(2.6B)(2.5B)
Change Receivables(17.1M)(149.5M)(43.9M)43.3M39.0M41.0M
Net Borrowings(75.3M)97.7M173.2M(111.8M)(100.6M)(95.6M)
Change To Netincome76.2M47.8M56.9M12.4M14.2M13.5M

Axos Financial Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Axos Financial or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Axos Financial's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Axos stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.94
σ
Overall volatility
3.41
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Axos Financial Volatility Alert

Axos Financial has relatively low volatility with skewness of 3.58 and kurtosis of 19.79. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Axos Financial's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Axos Financial's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Axos Financial Implied Volatility

Axos Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Axos Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Axos Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Axos Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Axos Financial's options are near their expiration.

Axos Financial Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Axos Financial's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Axos Financial's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Axos Financial and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Axos Financial or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Axos Financial's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Axos Financial by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Axos Financial to competition
FundamentalsAxos FinancialPeer Average
Return On Equity0.22-0.31
Return On Asset0.0216-0.14
Profit Margin0.43 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.54 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.7 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding57.09 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders8.71 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions86.10 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted5.24 M4.71 M
Price To Earning11.37 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.99 X9.51 X
Price To Sales4.26 X11.42 X
Revenue1.79 B9.43 B
Gross Profit702.02 M27.38 B
EBITDA71.85 M3.9 B
Net Income450.01 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents75 K2.7 B
Total Debt555.78 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.16 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.96 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share42.14 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations325.59 M971.22 M
Short Ratio10.20 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share8.17 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.78 X4.89 X
Target Price79.43
Number Of Employees1.78 K18.84 K
Beta1.39-0.15
Market Capitalization4.8 B19.03 B
Total Asset22.96 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings2.19 B9.33 B
Working Capital144.28 M1.48 B
Current Asset217.86 M9.34 B
Note: Disposition of 16887 shares by James Court of Axos Financial at 67.29 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Axos Financial Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Axos . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Axos Financial Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Axos Financial? Buying financial instruments such as Axos Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Axos Stock Analysis

When running Axos Financial's price analysis, check to measure Axos Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Axos Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Axos Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Axos Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Axos Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Axos Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.