Ares Commercial Real Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ACRE Stock | USD 4.52 0.08 1.80% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Ares Commercial Real is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides Ares Commercial buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ACRE positions. Check out Ares Commercial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Ares and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Ares Commercial Real. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
Execute Ares Commercial Buy or Sell Advice
The Ares recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Ares Commercial Real. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Ares Commercial Real or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Ares Commercial's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Buy
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Ares Commercial Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Ares Commercial Real has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (34.99 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 67.13 M. | |
| On 15th of July 2025 Ares Commercial paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Ares Commercial Real Estate Expected to Announce Quarterly Earnings on Tuesday - MarketBeat |
Ares Commercial Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Ares Commercial's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Ares Commercial's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Ares Commercial daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Ares Commercial Real price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Ares Commercial returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Ares Commercial.
| Mean Return | 0.22 | Value At Risk | -2.92 | Potential Upside | 2.86 | Standard Deviation | 2.39 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Ares Commercial historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Ares Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Bi Asset Management Fondsmaeglerselskab A/s | 2025-03-31 | 419.9 K | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2025-03-31 | 419.4 K | Ubs Group Ag | 2025-03-31 | 281.6 K | Jane Street Group Llc | 2025-03-31 | 245.8 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2025-03-31 | 228.1 K | Ameriprise Financial Inc | 2025-03-31 | 220 K | Delphi Financial Group Inc | 2025-03-31 | 214.9 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2025-03-31 | 200.8 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2025-03-31 | 191.7 K | Blackrock Inc | 2025-03-31 | 4.9 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2025-03-31 | 3 M |
Ares Commercial Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Investments | (81.9M) | (699.7M) | 154.9M | 298.7M | 427.9M | 449.3M | |
| Change In Cash | 69.1M | (24.2M) | 90.7M | (30.8M) | (44.2M) | (42.0M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 173.7M | 94.1M | 481.1M | (194.0M) | (223.1M) | (211.9M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 31.5M | 48.2M | 57.2M | 46.8M | 35.5M | 34.3M | |
| Depreciation | 892K | 9.9M | (1.0M) | 1.3M | 5.4M | 5.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (104K) | 2.3M | 40.6M | 101.2M | 66.2M | 69.5M | |
| Dividends Paid | 42.8M | 58.4M | 71.8M | 76.0M | 59.6M | 43.6M | |
| Net Income | 21.8M | 60.5M | 29.8M | (38.9M) | (35.0M) | (33.2M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 74.8M | 50.6M | 141.3M | 110.5M | 66.3M | 51.2M | |
| Change To Netincome | 1.9M | 25.5M | 2.0M | 46.7M | 53.8M | 56.4M |
Ares Commercial Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ares Commercial or Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ares Commercial's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ares stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.74 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Ares Commercial Volatility Alert
Ares Commercial Real has relatively low volatility with skewness of 2.62 and kurtosis of 15.4. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ares Commercial's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ares Commercial's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Ares Commercial Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Ares Commercial's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Ares Commercial's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Ares Commercial and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Ares Commercial or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Ares Commercial's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ares Commercial by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Ares Commercial to competition |
| Fundamentals | Ares Commercial | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0233 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0073 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.20) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.47 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.06 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 55.01 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 5.52 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 45.13 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.59 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 18.64 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.45 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.64 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | (15.23 M) | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 67.13 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 647 K | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (34.99 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 36.32 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.67 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.17 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 2.39 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 4.46 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 9.89 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 35.55 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.36 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.24) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.57 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 5.08 | |
| Beta | 1.36 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 244.22 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.75 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (277.36 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 29.57 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 39.38 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Disposition of 15072 shares by Bryan Donohoe of Ares Commercial at 10.91 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Ares Commercial Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ares . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 5367.22 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.0 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 4.49 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 4.5 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.07 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.08 |
About Ares Commercial Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Ares Commercial Real? Buying financial instruments such as Ares Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Ares Commercial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Is Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ares Commercial. If investors know Ares will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ares Commercial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 15.981 | Dividend Share 0.9 | Earnings Share (0.24) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.51) |
The market value of Ares Commercial Real is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ares Commercial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ares Commercial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ares Commercial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ares Commercial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ares Commercial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ares Commercial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ares Commercial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.