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Ares Commercial Real Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ACRE Stock  USD 4.52  0.08  1.80%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Ares Commercial Real is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides Ares Commercial buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ACRE positions. Check out Ares Commercial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Ares and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Ares Commercial Real. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Execute Ares Commercial Buy or Sell Advice

The Ares recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Ares Commercial Real. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Ares Commercial Real or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Ares Commercial's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Ares CommercialBuy Ares Commercial
Buy

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Ares Commercial Real has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0805, Jensen Alpha of 0.0549, Total Risk Alpha of (0.1), Sortino Ratio of 0.058 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1392
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Ares Commercial Real. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Ares Commercial is not overpriced, please confirm all Ares Commercial Real fundamentals, including its price to book, cash and equivalents, and the relationship between the shares owned by institutions and gross profit . Given that Ares Commercial Real has a price to earning of 18.64 X, we suggest you to validate Ares Commercial Real market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Ares Commercial Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Ares Commercial Real has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (34.99 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 67.13 M.
On 15th of July 2025 Ares Commercial paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Ares Commercial Real Estate Expected to Announce Quarterly Earnings on Tuesday - MarketBeat

Ares Commercial Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Ares Commercial's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Ares Commercial's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Ares Commercial daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Ares Commercial Real price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Ares Commercial returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Ares Commercial.
Mean Return
0.22
Value At Risk
-2.92
Potential Upside
2.86
Standard Deviation
2.39
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Ares Commercial historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Ares Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Bi Asset Management Fondsmaeglerselskab A/s2025-03-31
419.9 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2025-03-31
419.4 K
Ubs Group Ag2025-03-31
281.6 K
Jane Street Group Llc2025-03-31
245.8 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2025-03-31
228.1 K
Ameriprise Financial Inc2025-03-31
220 K
Delphi Financial Group Inc2025-03-31
214.9 K
Amvescap Plc.2025-03-31
200.8 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2025-03-31
191.7 K
Blackrock Inc2025-03-31
4.9 M
Vanguard Group Inc2025-03-31
M
Note, although Ares Commercial's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Ares Commercial Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Investments(81.9M)(699.7M)154.9M298.7M427.9M449.3M
Change In Cash69.1M(24.2M)90.7M(30.8M)(44.2M)(42.0M)
Net Borrowings173.7M94.1M481.1M(194.0M)(223.1M)(211.9M)
Free Cash Flow31.5M48.2M57.2M46.8M35.5M34.3M
Depreciation892K9.9M(1.0M)1.3M5.4M5.7M
Other Non Cash Items(104K)2.3M40.6M101.2M66.2M69.5M
Dividends Paid42.8M58.4M71.8M76.0M59.6M43.6M
Net Income21.8M60.5M29.8M(38.9M)(35.0M)(33.2M)
End Period Cash Flow74.8M50.6M141.3M110.5M66.3M51.2M
Change To Netincome1.9M25.5M2.0M46.7M53.8M56.4M

Ares Commercial Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ares Commercial or Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ares Commercial's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ares stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.53
σ
Overall volatility
1.74
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Ares Commercial Volatility Alert

Ares Commercial Real has relatively low volatility with skewness of 2.62 and kurtosis of 15.4. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ares Commercial's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ares Commercial's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Ares Commercial Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Ares Commercial's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Ares Commercial's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Ares Commercial and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Ares Commercial or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Ares Commercial's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ares Commercial by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Ares Commercial to competition
FundamentalsAres CommercialPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0233-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0073-0.14
Profit Margin(0.20) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.47 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.06 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding55.01 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders5.52 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions45.13 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.59 M4.71 M
Price To Earning18.64 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.45 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.64 X11.42 X
Revenue(15.23 M)9.43 B
Gross Profit67.13 M27.38 B
EBITDA647 K3.9 B
Net Income(34.99 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents36.32 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.67 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.17 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.39 %48.70 %
Current Ratio4.46 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share9.89 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations35.55 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.36 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.24) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.57 X4.89 X
Target Price5.08
Beta1.36-0.15
Market Capitalization244.22 M19.03 B
Total Asset1.75 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(277.36 M)9.33 B
Working Capital29.57 M1.48 B
Current Asset39.38 M9.34 B
Note: Disposition of 15072 shares by Bryan Donohoe of Ares Commercial at 10.91 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Ares Commercial Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ares . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Ares Commercial Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Ares Commercial Real? Buying financial instruments such as Ares Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Ares Commercial in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Investment Grade ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Ares Commercial Real is a strong investment it is important to analyze Ares Commercial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Ares Commercial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Ares Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Ares Commercial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Is Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ares Commercial. If investors know Ares will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ares Commercial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
15.981
Dividend Share
0.9
Earnings Share
(0.24)
Revenue Per Share
1.23
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.51)
The market value of Ares Commercial Real is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ares Commercial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ares Commercial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ares Commercial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ares Commercial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ares Commercial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ares Commercial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ares Commercial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.