PennyMac Mortgage (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

8PM Stock  EUR 12.70  0.10  0.78%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding PennyMac Mortgage Investment is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides PennyMac Mortgage buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 8PM positions.
  
Check out PennyMac Mortgage Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as PennyMac and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. PennyMac Mortgage Investment. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute PennyMac Mortgage Buy or Sell Advice

The PennyMac recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on PennyMac Mortgage Investment. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in PennyMac Mortgage Investment or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute PennyMac Mortgage's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell PennyMac MortgageBuy PennyMac Mortgage
Hold

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Quite HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon PennyMac Mortgage Investment has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0461, Jensen Alpha of 0.035, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0146, Sortino Ratio of 0.0136 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1523
Our trade recommendations tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on PennyMac Mortgage and to analyze the firm potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure PennyMac Mortgage is not overpriced, please check all PennyMac Mortgage fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, price to book, and the relationship between the shares owned by insiders and price to earning .

PennyMac Mortgage Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

PennyMac Mortgage has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
PennyMac Mortgage has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 103.11 M. Net Loss for the year was (73.29 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (321.2 M).
About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

PennyMac Mortgage Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of PennyMac Mortgage's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of PennyMac Mortgage's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of PennyMac Mortgage daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use PennyMac Mortgage Investment price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of PennyMac Mortgage returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for PennyMac Mortgage.
Mean Return
0.05
Value At Risk
-1.56
Potential Upside
1.59
Standard Deviation
0.91
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of PennyMac Mortgage historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

PennyMac Mortgage Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to PennyMac Mortgage or Real Estate sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that PennyMac Mortgage's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a PennyMac stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.27
σ
Overall volatility
0.91
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

PennyMac Mortgage Volatility Alert

PennyMac Mortgage Investment has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.49 and kurtosis of 0.36. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure PennyMac Mortgage's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact PennyMac Mortgage's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

PennyMac Mortgage Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing PennyMac Mortgage's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze PennyMac Mortgage's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between PennyMac Mortgage and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as PennyMac Mortgage or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of PennyMac Mortgage's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PennyMac Mortgage by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare PennyMac Mortgage to competition
FundamentalsPennyMac MortgagePeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0339-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0053-0.14
Operating Margin(0.43) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation12.79 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding88.89 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.95 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions70.98 %39.21 %
Price To Earning8.46 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.86 X9.51 X
Price To Sales33.07 X11.42 X
Revenue103.11 M9.43 B
Gross Profit(321.2 M)27.38 B
Net Income(73.29 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents257.25 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.76 X5.01 X
Total Debt4.77 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity328.90 %48.70 %
Current Ratio9.60 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share15.99 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.78 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(1.37) X3.12 X
Target Price20.89
Number Of Employees2318.84 K
Beta1.35-0.15
Market Capitalization1.09 B19.03 B
Total Asset13.92 B29.47 B
Annual Yield0.12 %
Five Year Return10.16 %
Net Asset13.92 B
Last Dividend Paid1.81

PennyMac Mortgage Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as PennyMac . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About PennyMac Mortgage Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell PennyMac Mortgage Investment? Buying financial instruments such as PennyMac Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Electronics Theme
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in PennyMac Stock

When determining whether PennyMac Mortgage is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if PennyMac Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Pennymac Mortgage Investment Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Pennymac Mortgage Investment Stock:
Check out PennyMac Mortgage Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Please note, there is a significant difference between PennyMac Mortgage's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PennyMac Mortgage is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PennyMac Mortgage's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.