St Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 43.84
| STBA Stock | USD 43.84 5.51 14.38% |
STBA |
ST Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish over 43.84
The tendency of STBA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 43.84 | 90 days | 43.84 | roughly 2.77 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ST Bancorp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.77 (This ST Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of STBA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.31 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, ST Bancorp will likely underperform. Additionally ST Bancorp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. ST Bancorp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ST Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ST Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ST Bancorp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ST Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ST Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ST Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ST Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.67 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
ST Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ST Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ST Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ST Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ST Bancorp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: ST Bancorp Inc Q3 2024 Earnings Call Highlights Strong Deposit Growth Amidst ... |
ST Bancorp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of STBA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ST Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ST Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | -233.6 M |
ST Bancorp Technical Analysis
ST Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. STBA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ST Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing STBA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ST Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models
ST Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many ST Bancorp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ST Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ST Bancorp
Checking the ongoing alerts about ST Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ST Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ST Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ST Bancorp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: ST Bancorp Inc Q3 2024 Earnings Call Highlights Strong Deposit Growth Amidst ... |
Check out ST Bancorp Backtesting, ST Bancorp Valuation, ST Bancorp Correlation, ST Bancorp Hype Analysis, ST Bancorp Volatility, ST Bancorp History as well as ST Bancorp Performance. For information on how to trade STBA Stock refer to our How to Trade STBA Stock guide.You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ST Bancorp. If investors know STBA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ST Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.02) | Dividend Share 0.33 | Earnings Share 3.51 | Revenue Per Share 10.107 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.014 |
The market value of ST Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of STBA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ST Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ST Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ST Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ST Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ST Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ST Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ST Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.