Air Products And Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 327.85

APD Stock  USD 327.85  0.15  0.05%   
Air Products' future price is the expected price of Air Products instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Air Products and performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Air Products Backtesting, Air Products Valuation, Air Products Correlation, Air Products Hype Analysis, Air Products Volatility, Air Products History as well as Air Products Performance.
  
At present, Air Products' Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is projected to increase based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Cash Flow Ratio is expected to grow to 19.07, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is forecasted to decline to 15.81. Please specify Air Products' target price for which you would like Air Products odds to be computed.

Air Products Target Price Odds to finish over 327.85

The tendency of Air Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 327.85 90 days 327.85 
about 8.18
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Air Products to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 8.18 (This Air Products and probability density function shows the probability of Air Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Air Products has a beta of 0.26. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Air Products average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Air Products and will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Air Products and has an alpha of 0.2632, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Air Products Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Air Products

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Air Products. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
326.31327.85329.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
295.07370.20371.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
344.83346.37347.91
Details
23 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
303.97334.03370.77
Details

Air Products Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Air Products is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Air Products' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Air Products and, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Air Products within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.26
σ
Overall volatility
20.06
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Air Products Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Air Products for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Air Products can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 12th of November 2024 Air Products paid $ 1.77 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: 806 Shares in Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. Purchased by West Family Investments Inc.

Air Products Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Air Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Air Products' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Air Products' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding222.8 M

Air Products Technical Analysis

Air Products' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Air Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Air Products and. In general, you should focus on analyzing Air Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Air Products Predictive Forecast Models

Air Products' time-series forecasting models is one of many Air Products' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Air Products' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Air Products

Checking the ongoing alerts about Air Products for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Air Products help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 12th of November 2024 Air Products paid $ 1.77 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: 806 Shares in Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. Purchased by West Family Investments Inc.
When determining whether Air Products is a strong investment it is important to analyze Air Products' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Air Products' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Air Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Industrial Gases space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Air Products. If investors know Air will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Air Products listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.81
Dividend Share
7.06
Earnings Share
17.25
Revenue Per Share
54.385
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0)
The market value of Air Products is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Air that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Air Products' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Air Products' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Air Products' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Air Products' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Air Products' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Air Products is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Air Products' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.