VerifyMe Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average
| VRME Stock | USD 1.27 0.14 12.39% |
VerifyMe Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast VerifyMe stock prices and determine the direction of VerifyMe's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of VerifyMe's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of VerifyMe's stock price is about 60. This entails that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling VerifyMe, making its price go up or down. Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.97) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.03) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.04 | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.07) | Wall Street Target Price 1.5 |
Using VerifyMe hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of VerifyMe from the perspective of VerifyMe response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
VerifyMe Relative Strength Index
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of VerifyMe on the next trading day is expected to be 1.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.41.VerifyMe Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to VerifyMe's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in VerifyMe. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding VerifyMe can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around VerifyMe. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of VerifyMe's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about VerifyMe.
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of VerifyMe on the next trading day is expected to be 1.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.41. VerifyMe after-hype prediction price | USD 1.27 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VerifyMe to cross-verify your projections. VerifyMe Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine VerifyMe price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for VerifyMe using various technical indicators. When you analyze VerifyMe charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
VerifyMe 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of VerifyMe on the next trading day is expected to be 1.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.41.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VerifyMe Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VerifyMe's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
VerifyMe Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest VerifyMe | VerifyMe Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
VerifyMe Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting VerifyMe's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. VerifyMe's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 10.80, respectively. We have considered VerifyMe's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VerifyMe stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VerifyMe stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 78.3011 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0987 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1563 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1521 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.409 |
Predictive Modules for VerifyMe
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VerifyMe. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.VerifyMe After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of VerifyMe at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in VerifyMe or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of VerifyMe, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
VerifyMe Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting VerifyMe's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on VerifyMe's historical news coverage. VerifyMe's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 10.98, respectively. We have considered VerifyMe's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
VerifyMe is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of VerifyMe is based on 3 months time horizon.
VerifyMe Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as VerifyMe is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading VerifyMe backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with VerifyMe, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.68 | 9.75 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 11 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.27 | 1.27 | 0.00 |
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VerifyMe Hype Timeline
VerifyMe is at this time traded for 1.27. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. VerifyMe is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.68%. %. The volatility of related hype on VerifyMe is about 16525.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.23. About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.42. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. VerifyMe recorded a loss per share of 0.39. The entity last dividend was issued on the 18th of June 2020. The firm had 1:50 split on the 18th of June 2020. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VerifyMe to cross-verify your projections.VerifyMe Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to VerifyMe's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict VerifyMe's future price movements. Getting to know how VerifyMe's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how VerifyMe may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| UUU | Universal Security Instruments | (0.11) | 8 per month | 6.92 | 0.04 | 15.95 | (11.46) | 42.44 | |
| ILAG | Intelligent Living Application | 0.17 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 12.40 | (13.92) | 62.13 | |
| LSH | Lakeside Holding Limited | 0.01 | 6 per month | 4.13 | (0.01) | 11.76 | (6.90) | 49.01 | |
| JYD | Jayud Global Logistics | (0.34) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 9.60 | (9.09) | 28.60 | |
| ZDAI | Primega Group Holdings | (0.02) | 7 per month | 6.15 | 0.06 | 19.57 | (8.82) | 57.23 | |
| AIRI | Air Industries Group | (0.06) | 8 per month | 2.26 | 0 | 3.72 | (4.01) | 25.67 | |
| GFAI | Guardforce AI Co | (0.01) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 9.76 | (9.23) | 25.97 | |
| GRNQ | GreenPro Capital Corp | (0.11) | 8 per month | 3.90 | 0.07 | 8.13 | (5.39) | 25.63 | |
| HYFM | Hydrofarm Holdings Group | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 12.26 | (9.50) | 47.42 | |
| PSIG | PS International Group | (0.11) | 25 per month | 3.23 | 0.02 | 8.05 | (5.30) | 18.09 |
Other Forecasting Options for VerifyMe
For every potential investor in VerifyMe, whether a beginner or expert, VerifyMe's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. VerifyMe Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in VerifyMe. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying VerifyMe's price trends.VerifyMe Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with VerifyMe stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of VerifyMe could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing VerifyMe by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
VerifyMe Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how VerifyMe stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading VerifyMe shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying VerifyMe stock market strength indicators, traders can identify VerifyMe entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
VerifyMe Risk Indicators
The analysis of VerifyMe's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VerifyMe's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting verifyme stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.12 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.94 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 9.69 | |||
| Variance | 93.93 | |||
| Downside Variance | 32.85 | |||
| Semi Variance | 24.43 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (8.24) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for VerifyMe
The number of cover stories for VerifyMe depends on current market conditions and VerifyMe's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that VerifyMe is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about VerifyMe's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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VerifyMe Short Properties
VerifyMe's future price predictability will typically decrease when VerifyMe's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of VerifyMe often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential VerifyMe's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VerifyMe's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VerifyMe to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade VerifyMe Stock refer to our How to Trade VerifyMe Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of VerifyMe. If investors know VerifyMe will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about VerifyMe listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.97) | Earnings Share (0.39) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) | Return On Assets |
The market value of VerifyMe is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VerifyMe that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VerifyMe's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VerifyMe's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VerifyMe's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VerifyMe's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VerifyMe's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VerifyMe is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VerifyMe's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.