Visteon Corp Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| VC Stock | USD 91.69 0.42 0.46% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Visteon Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 91.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 104.31. Visteon Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Visteon Corp stock prices and determine the direction of Visteon Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Visteon Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Visteon |
Open Interest Against 2024-12-20 Visteon Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Visteon Corp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Visteon Corp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Visteon Corp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Visteon Corp's open interest, investors have to compare it to Visteon Corp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Visteon Corp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Visteon. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Visteon Corp Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Visteon Corp's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1999-12-31 | Previous Quarter 508 M | Current Value 550 M | Quarterly Volatility 470.7 M |
Visteon Corp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 18th of November 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Visteon Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 91.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.71, mean absolute percentage error of 4.95, and the sum of the absolute errors of 104.31.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Visteon Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Visteon Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Visteon Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
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Visteon Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Visteon Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Visteon Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 89.53 and 93.46, respectively. We have considered Visteon Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Visteon Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Visteon Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.7103 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.71 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0183 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 104.3092 |
Predictive Modules for Visteon Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Visteon Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Visteon Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Visteon Corp
For every potential investor in Visteon, whether a beginner or expert, Visteon Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Visteon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Visteon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Visteon Corp's price trends.Visteon Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Visteon Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Visteon Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Visteon Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Visteon Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Visteon Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Visteon Corp's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Visteon Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Visteon Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Visteon Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Visteon Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Visteon Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Visteon Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Visteon Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Visteon Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting visteon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.96 | |||
| Variance | 3.82 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Visteon Corp to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Visteon Stock refer to our How to Trade Visteon Stock guide.You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Is Automotive Parts & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Visteon Corp. If investors know Visteon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Visteon Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.40) | Earnings Share 18.3 | Revenue Per Share 141.664 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) | Return On Assets 0.0798 |
The market value of Visteon Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Visteon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Visteon Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Visteon Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Visteon Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Visteon Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Visteon Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Visteon Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Visteon Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.