TPI Composites Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

TPIC Stock  USD 0.89  0.03  3.25%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TPI Composites on the next trading day is expected to be 0.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.04. TPI Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast TPI Composites stock prices and determine the direction of TPI Composites's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of TPI Composites' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At present, TPI Composites' Receivables Turnover is projected to drop based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 6.85, whereas Payables Turnover is forecasted to decline to 4.42. . As of July 21, 2025, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 34.9 M. The current year's Net Loss is expected to grow to about (106.2 M).

Open Interest Against 2025-09-19 TPI Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast TPI Composites' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in TPI Composites' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for TPI Composites stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current TPI Composites' open interest, investors have to compare it to TPI Composites' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of TPI Composites is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in TPI. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
TPI Composites simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for TPI Composites are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as TPI Composites prices get older.

TPI Composites Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 22nd of July

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TPI Composites on the next trading day is expected to be 0.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.04.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TPI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TPI Composites' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

TPI Composites Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest TPI CompositesTPI Composites Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

TPI Composites Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting TPI Composites' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TPI Composites' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 7.23, respectively. We have considered TPI Composites' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.89
0.89
Expected Value
7.23
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TPI Composites stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TPI Composites stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.8104
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 2.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0506
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0492
SAESum of the absolute errors3.0366
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting TPI Composites forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent TPI Composites observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for TPI Composites

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TPI Composites. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.877.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.107.44
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1.631.791.99
Details

Other Forecasting Options for TPI Composites

For every potential investor in TPI, whether a beginner or expert, TPI Composites' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TPI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TPI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TPI Composites' price trends.

TPI Composites Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TPI Composites stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TPI Composites could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TPI Composites by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

TPI Composites Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of TPI Composites' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of TPI Composites' current price.

TPI Composites Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TPI Composites stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TPI Composites shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TPI Composites stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TPI Composites entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

TPI Composites Risk Indicators

The analysis of TPI Composites' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TPI Composites' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tpi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether TPI Composites offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of TPI Composites' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Tpi Composites Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Tpi Composites Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TPI Composites to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade TPI Stock refer to our How to Trade TPI Stock guide.
You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Is Heavy Electrical Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TPI Composites. If investors know TPI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TPI Composites listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(4.15)
Revenue Per Share
28.872
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.143
Return On Assets
(0.06)
Return On Equity
(3.53)
The market value of TPI Composites is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TPI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TPI Composites' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TPI Composites' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TPI Composites' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TPI Composites' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TPI Composites' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TPI Composites is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TPI Composites' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.