Tsakos Energy Preferred Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| TEN-PE Preferred Stock | 26.63 0.15 0.56% |
Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Tsakos Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tsakos Energy Navigation from the perspective of Tsakos Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Tsakos Energy Navigation on the next trading day is expected to be 26.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.12. Tsakos Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 26.63 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Tsakos |
Tsakos Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tsakos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tsakos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tsakos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Tsakos Energy Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Tsakos Energy Navigation on the next trading day is expected to be 26.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.12.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tsakos Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tsakos Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Tsakos Energy Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern
Tsakos Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Tsakos Energy's Preferred Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tsakos Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.48 and 27.26, respectively. We have considered Tsakos Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tsakos Energy preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tsakos Energy preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.3461 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0825 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0031 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.1169 |
Predictive Modules for Tsakos Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tsakos Energy Navigation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tsakos Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Prediction Volatility
As far as predicting the price of Tsakos Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tsakos Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Preferred Stock prices, such as prices of Tsakos Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Tsakos Energy Preferred Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tsakos Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tsakos Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tsakos Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 0.39 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
26.63 | 26.63 | 0.00 |
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Tsakos Energy Hype Timeline
Tsakos Energy Navigation is at this time traded for 26.63. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.03. Tsakos is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Tsakos Energy is about 29.66%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.60. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be within a week. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.Tsakos Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tsakos Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tsakos Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Tsakos Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tsakos Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NVDA | NVIDIA | (3.64) | 8 per month | 2.05 | (0.01) | 3.01 | (3.65) | 10.18 | |
| GOOG | Alphabet Inc Class C | 2.09 | 19 per month | 1.20 | 0.17 | 3.33 | (2.31) | 9.42 | |
| AAPL | Apple Inc | 0.84 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.63 | (1.65) | 5.73 | |
| MSFT | Microsoft | 3.71 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.78 | (2.50) | 4.90 | |
| AMZN | Amazon Inc | (0.36) | 26 per month | 1.77 | 0.05 | 2.90 | (2.86) | 14.02 | |
| BMYMP | Bristol Myers Squibb | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.53 | 0.06 | 4.09 | (2.64) | 16.92 | |
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing | (1.66) | 8 per month | 1.78 | 0.06 | 3.06 | (3.45) | 9.62 | |
| AVGO | Broadcom | (11.50) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.49 | (4.48) | 22.53 |
Other Forecasting Options for Tsakos Energy
For every potential investor in Tsakos, whether a beginner or expert, Tsakos Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tsakos Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tsakos. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tsakos Energy's price trends.Tsakos Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tsakos Energy preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tsakos Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tsakos Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Tsakos Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tsakos Energy preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tsakos Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tsakos Energy preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tsakos Energy Navigation entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 41.96 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.25) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 26.67 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 26.66 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.12) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.15) |
Tsakos Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of Tsakos Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tsakos Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tsakos preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.2963 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.2475 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.3865 | |||
| Variance | 0.1494 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.1325 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0613 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.33) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Tsakos Energy
The number of cover stories for Tsakos Energy depends on current market conditions and Tsakos Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tsakos Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tsakos Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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