Starbreeze Stock Forward View

STAR-B Stock  SEK 0.1  0.0009  0.93%   
Starbreeze Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Starbreeze stock prices and determine the direction of Starbreeze AB's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Starbreeze's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of Starbreeze's share price is below 30 at this time. This usually implies that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Starbreeze AB, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 26

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Starbreeze's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Starbreeze AB, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Starbreeze hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Starbreeze AB from the perspective of Starbreeze response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Starbreeze AB on the next trading day is expected to be 0.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.22.

Starbreeze after-hype prediction price

    
  SEK 0.1  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Starbreeze to cross-verify your projections.

Starbreeze Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Starbreeze price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Starbreeze using various technical indicators. When you analyze Starbreeze charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Starbreeze is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Starbreeze AB value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Starbreeze Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Starbreeze AB on the next trading day is expected to be 0.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.22.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Starbreeze Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Starbreeze's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Starbreeze Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Starbreeze  Starbreeze Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Starbreeze Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Starbreeze's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Starbreeze's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.001 and 3.17, respectively. We have considered Starbreeze's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.1
0.09
Expected Value
3.17
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Starbreeze stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Starbreeze stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.1235
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0036
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0325
SAESum of the absolute errors0.2212
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Starbreeze AB. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Starbreeze. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Starbreeze

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Starbreeze AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.103.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.093.14
Details

Starbreeze After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Starbreeze at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Starbreeze or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Starbreeze, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Starbreeze Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Starbreeze's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Starbreeze's historical news coverage. Starbreeze's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 3.15, respectively. We have considered Starbreeze's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.1
0.10
After-hype Price
3.15
Upside
Starbreeze is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Starbreeze AB is based on 3 months time horizon.

Starbreeze Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Starbreeze is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Starbreeze backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Starbreeze, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.48 
3.08
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.1
0.10
4.60 
0.00  
Notes

Starbreeze Hype Timeline

Starbreeze AB is at this time traded for 0.1on Stockholm Exchange of Sweden. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Starbreeze is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.1 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price jump on the next news is anticipated to be 4.6%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.48%. The volatility of related hype on Starbreeze is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.10. Starbreeze AB has accumulated about 128.57 M in cash with 73.87 M of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.42, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Starbreeze to cross-verify your projections.

Starbreeze Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Starbreeze's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Starbreeze's future price movements. Getting to know how Starbreeze's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Starbreeze may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MAGIMAG Interactive AB 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 4.10 (5.88) 31.09 
FLEXMFlexion Mobile PLC 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.01) 10.32 (7.63) 31.58 
LITILitium AB 0.00 0 per month 2.12  0.03  4.30 (4.12) 11.90 
RORolling Optics Holding 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 25.00 (24.10) 59.58 
ALPCOT-BAlpcot Holding AB 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 5.93 (6.09) 33.19 
GCORGaming Corps AB 0.00 0 per month 3.41  0.07  6.31 (5.56) 28.72 
CDMILCodeMill AB 0.00 0 per month 3.42  0.04  9.49 (6.23) 25.15 
TAGM-BTagMaster AB Series 0.00 0 per month 2.19  0.07  5.00 (4.69) 12.66 
PRCO-BPrecio Fishbone AB 0.00 0 per month 2.00  0.01  2.61 (3.77) 22.11 
FRAGFragbite Group AB 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 7.83 (8.29) 55.16 

Other Forecasting Options for Starbreeze

For every potential investor in Starbreeze, whether a beginner or expert, Starbreeze's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Starbreeze Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Starbreeze. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Starbreeze's price trends.

Starbreeze Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Starbreeze stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Starbreeze could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Starbreeze by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Starbreeze Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Starbreeze stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Starbreeze shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Starbreeze stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Starbreeze AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Starbreeze Risk Indicators

The analysis of Starbreeze's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Starbreeze's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting starbreeze stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Starbreeze

The number of cover stories for Starbreeze depends on current market conditions and Starbreeze's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Starbreeze is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Starbreeze's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Starbreeze Short Properties

Starbreeze's future price predictability will typically decrease when Starbreeze's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Starbreeze AB often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Starbreeze's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Starbreeze's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding469.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments128.6 M

Other Information on Investing in Starbreeze Stock

Starbreeze financial ratios help investors to determine whether Starbreeze Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Starbreeze with respect to the benefits of owning Starbreeze security.