Sunstone Hotel Preferred Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

SHO-PI Preferred Stock   19.18  0.03  0.16%   
Sunstone Preferred Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sunstone Hotel's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 26th of January 2026, the value of RSI of Sunstone Hotel's share price is approaching 48. This usually implies that the preferred stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sunstone Hotel, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 48

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Sunstone Hotel's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sunstone Hotel Investors, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Sunstone Hotel hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sunstone Hotel Investors from the perspective of Sunstone Hotel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Sunstone Hotel Investors on the next trading day is expected to be 19.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.09.

Sunstone Hotel after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 19.55  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sunstone Hotel to cross-verify your projections.

Sunstone Hotel Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sunstone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sunstone using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sunstone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Sunstone Hotel polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Sunstone Hotel Investors as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Sunstone Hotel Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Sunstone Hotel Investors on the next trading day is expected to be 19.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.09.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sunstone Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sunstone Hotel's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sunstone Hotel Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern

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Sunstone Hotel Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sunstone Hotel's Preferred Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sunstone Hotel's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.35 and 20.26, respectively. We have considered Sunstone Hotel's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
19.18
19.30
Expected Value
20.26
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sunstone Hotel preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sunstone Hotel preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.4726
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1326
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0069
SAESum of the absolute errors8.09
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Sunstone Hotel historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Sunstone Hotel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sunstone Hotel Investors. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.5919.5520.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.3319.2920.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
18.9019.2319.57
Details

Sunstone Hotel After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Sunstone Hotel at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sunstone Hotel or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Preferred Stock prices, such as prices of Sunstone Hotel, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Sunstone Hotel Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Sunstone Hotel's preferred stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sunstone Hotel's historical news coverage. Sunstone Hotel's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.59 and 20.51, respectively. We have considered Sunstone Hotel's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
19.18
19.55
After-hype Price
20.51
Upside
Sunstone Hotel is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sunstone Hotel Investors is based on 3 months time horizon.

Sunstone Hotel Preferred Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sunstone Hotel is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sunstone Hotel backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sunstone Hotel, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05 
0.96
  0.37 
  0.05 
17 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 17 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
19.18
19.55
1.93 
13.11  
Notes

Sunstone Hotel Hype Timeline

Sunstone Hotel Investors is at this time traded for 19.18. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.37, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Sunstone is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 19.55 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 13.11%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 1.93%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Sunstone Hotel is about 96.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.23. The company reported the revenue of 912.05 M. Net Income was 90.77 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 421.3 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 17 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sunstone Hotel to cross-verify your projections.

Sunstone Hotel Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Sunstone Hotel's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sunstone Hotel's future price movements. Getting to know how Sunstone Hotel's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sunstone Hotel may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Sunstone Hotel

For every potential investor in Sunstone, whether a beginner or expert, Sunstone Hotel's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sunstone Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sunstone. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sunstone Hotel's price trends.

Sunstone Hotel Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sunstone Hotel preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sunstone Hotel could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sunstone Hotel by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sunstone Hotel Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sunstone Hotel preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sunstone Hotel shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sunstone Hotel preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sunstone Hotel Investors entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sunstone Hotel Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sunstone Hotel's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sunstone Hotel's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sunstone preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Sunstone Hotel

The number of cover stories for Sunstone Hotel depends on current market conditions and Sunstone Hotel's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sunstone Hotel is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sunstone Hotel's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Sunstone Hotel Short Properties

Sunstone Hotel's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sunstone Hotel's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sunstone Hotel Investors often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sunstone Hotel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sunstone Hotel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding212.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments101.2 M

Other Information on Investing in Sunstone Preferred Stock

Sunstone Hotel financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sunstone Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sunstone with respect to the benefits of owning Sunstone Hotel security.