Americold Realty Trust Stock Price Prediction

COLD Stock  USD 23.17  2.09  8.27%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Americold Realty's share price is approaching 33 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Americold Realty, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

33

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Americold Realty's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Americold Realty and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Americold Realty's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Americold Realty Trust, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Americold Realty's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.67)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.1
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.04
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.44
Wall Street Target Price
31.69
Using Americold Realty hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Americold Realty Trust from the perspective of Americold Realty response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Americold Realty Trust Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Americold Realty's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Americold. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Americold can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Americold Realty Trust. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Americold Realty's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Americold Realty.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Americold Realty to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Americold because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Americold Realty after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 23.18  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Americold Realty Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.8530.0031.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.6623.1624.65
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
32.1235.3039.18
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.090.100.11
Details

Americold Realty After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Americold Realty at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Americold Realty or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Americold Realty, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Americold Realty Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Americold Realty's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Americold Realty's historical news coverage. Americold Realty's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.68 and 24.68, respectively. We have considered Americold Realty's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
23.17
23.18
After-hype Price
24.68
Upside
Americold Realty is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Americold Realty Trust is based on 3 months time horizon.

Americold Realty Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Americold Realty is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Americold Realty backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Americold Realty, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.30 
1.50
  0.01 
  0.25 
9 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
23.17
23.18
0.04 
5,000  
Notes

Americold Realty Hype Timeline

Americold Realty Trust is currently traded for 23.17. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.25. Americold is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 23.18 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.3%. The volatility of related hype on Americold Realty is about 177.51%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.92. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.67 B. Net Loss for the year was (330.38 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 682.51 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Americold Realty Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Americold Realty Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Americold Realty's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Americold Realty's future price movements. Getting to know how Americold Realty's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Americold Realty may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Americold Realty Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Americold price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Americold using various technical indicators. When you analyze Americold charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Americold Realty Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Americold Realty stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Americold Realty Trust, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Americold Realty based on analysis of Americold Realty hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Americold Realty's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Americold Realty's related companies.
 2021 2022 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02680.03130.0196
Price To Sales Ratio3.132.621.66

Story Coverage note for Americold Realty

The number of cover stories for Americold Realty depends on current market conditions and Americold Realty's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Americold Realty is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Americold Realty's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Americold Realty Short Properties

Americold Realty's future price predictability will typically decrease when Americold Realty's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Americold Realty Trust often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Americold Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Americold Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding275.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments60.4 M

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