Smart Cannabis Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

SCNA Stock  USD 0.0004  0.0001  33.33%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Smart Cannabis Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0004 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000056 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Smart Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Smart Cannabis stock prices and determine the direction of Smart Cannabis Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Smart Cannabis' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Smart Cannabis is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Smart Cannabis Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Smart Cannabis Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of August

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Smart Cannabis Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0004 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000056, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Smart Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Smart Cannabis' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Smart Cannabis Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Smart Cannabis Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Smart Cannabis' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Smart Cannabis' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000004 and 27.70, respectively. We have considered Smart Cannabis' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0004
0.000004
Downside
0.0004
Expected Value
27.70
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Smart Cannabis pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Smart Cannabis pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria99.0437
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1508
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0034
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Smart Cannabis Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Smart Cannabis. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Smart Cannabis

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Smart Cannabis Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000327.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000327.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00040.00040.0004
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Smart Cannabis

For every potential investor in Smart, whether a beginner or expert, Smart Cannabis' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Smart Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Smart. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Smart Cannabis' price trends.

Smart Cannabis Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Smart Cannabis pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Smart Cannabis could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Smart Cannabis by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Smart Cannabis Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Smart Cannabis' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Smart Cannabis' current price.

Smart Cannabis Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Smart Cannabis pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Smart Cannabis shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Smart Cannabis pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Smart Cannabis Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Smart Cannabis Risk Indicators

The analysis of Smart Cannabis' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Smart Cannabis' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting smart pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Smart Pink Sheet

Smart Cannabis financial ratios help investors to determine whether Smart Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Smart with respect to the benefits of owning Smart Cannabis security.