Neffs Bancorp Pink Sheet Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average
| NEFB Stock | USD 398.00 1.95 0.49% |
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Neffs Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 398.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 83.95. Neffs Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Neffs Bancorp stock prices and determine the direction of Neffs Bancorp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Neffs Bancorp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Neffs Bancorp's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Neffs Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Neffs Bancorp from the perspective of Neffs Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Neffs Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 398.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 83.95. Neffs Bancorp after-hype prediction price | USD 398.01 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Neffs |
Neffs Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Neffs price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Neffs using various technical indicators. When you analyze Neffs charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Neffs Bancorp 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Neffs Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 398.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.47, mean absolute percentage error of 16.79, and the sum of the absolute errors of 83.95.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Neffs Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Neffs Bancorp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Neffs Bancorp Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Neffs Bancorp | Neffs Bancorp Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Neffs Bancorp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Neffs Bancorp's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Neffs Bancorp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 396.76 and 399.24, respectively. We have considered Neffs Bancorp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Neffs Bancorp pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Neffs Bancorp pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.5796 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0255 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.4728 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0038 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 83.9475 |
Predictive Modules for Neffs Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Neffs Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Neffs Bancorp
For every potential investor in Neffs, whether a beginner or expert, Neffs Bancorp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Neffs Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Neffs. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Neffs Bancorp's price trends.Neffs Bancorp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Neffs Bancorp pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Neffs Bancorp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Neffs Bancorp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Neffs Bancorp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Neffs Bancorp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Neffs Bancorp's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Neffs Bancorp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Neffs Bancorp pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Neffs Bancorp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Neffs Bancorp pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Neffs Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 398.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 398.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.97) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.95) |
Neffs Bancorp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Neffs Bancorp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Neffs Bancorp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting neffs pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.469 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8879 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Variance | 1.52 | |||
| Downside Variance | 9.89 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7884 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.01) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| JBL | Jabil Circuit | |
| MRK | Merck Company | |
| AMGN | Amgen Inc |
Other Information on Investing in Neffs Pink Sheet
Neffs Bancorp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Neffs Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Neffs with respect to the benefits of owning Neffs Bancorp security.